Persistent summer heat and humidity across subtropical Shanghai, with recent daytime highs near 37–38°C and overnight lows around 29°C, underpin trader focus on 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for the August 4 minimum. Long-range guidance from models shows stable high-pressure dominance and minimal frontal or tropical influences, favoring gradual overnight cooling to the mid-20s Celsius range consistent with early-August climatology. No major shifts in forecast consensus or observational data have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this positioning, leaving implied probabilities anchored to expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日上海最低气温？
8月4日上海最低气温？
27°C 40%
26°C 18%
28°C 16%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
21°C或以下
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
3%
26°C
18%
27°C
50%
28°C
16%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
1%
27°C 40%
26°C 18%
28°C 16%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
21°C或以下
$20 交易量
2%
22°C
$20 交易量
10%
23°C
$22 交易量
3%
24°C
$16 交易量
8%
25°C
$67 交易量
3%
26°C
$460 交易量
18%
27°C
$15 交易量
50%
28°C
$6 交易量
16%
29°C
$86 交易量
8%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C或更高
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat and humidity across subtropical Shanghai, with recent daytime highs near 37–38°C and overnight lows around 29°C, underpin trader focus on 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for the August 4 minimum. Long-range guidance from models shows stable high-pressure dominance and minimal frontal or tropical influences, favoring gradual overnight cooling to the mid-20s Celsius range consistent with early-August climatology. No major shifts in forecast consensus or observational data have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this positioning, leaving implied probabilities anchored to expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$722结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat and humidity across subtropical Shanghai, with recent daytime highs near 37–38°C and overnight lows around 29°C, underpin trader focus on 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for the August 4 minimum. Long-range guidance from models shows stable high-pressure dominance and minimal frontal or tropical influences, favoring gradual overnight cooling to the mid-20s Celsius range consistent with early-August climatology. No major shifts in forecast consensus or observational data have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this positioning, leaving implied probabilities anchored to expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$722结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETPersistent summer heat and humidity across subtropical Shanghai, with recent daytime highs near 37–38°C and overnight lows around 29°C, underpin trader focus on 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for the August 4 minimum. Long-range guidance from models shows stable high-pressure dominance and minimal frontal or tropical influences, favoring gradual overnight cooling to the mid-20s Celsius range consistent with early-August climatology. No major shifts in forecast consensus or observational data have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this positioning, leaving implied probabilities anchored to expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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