**Trader sentiment for Kuala Lumpur’s August 4 maximum temperature centers on the narrow gap between 33 °C and 34 °C.** Short-range forecast models show high uncertainty because typical early-August conditions—moderate trade-wind flow, scattered afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover—can easily shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Persistent low-level moisture and isolated thunderstorms, common in the region, limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes near or below the long-term 32 °C average. Conversely, brief clear spells or stronger urban heat-island effects at official stations could push readings to 34 °C. With probabilities closely matched, new ECMWF or local model runs and the latest satellite-derived cloud trends over the next 48 hours will likely determine which threshold gains consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日吉隆坡气温最高?
34°C 37%
33°C 36%
36°C 17%
32°C 16%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
16%
33°C
36%
34°C
37%
35°C
12%
36°C
17%
37°C
7%
38°C或更高
<1%
34°C 37%
33°C 36%
36°C 17%
32°C 16%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
16%
33°C
36%
34°C
37%
35°C
12%
36°C
17%
37°C
7%
38°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Kuala Lumpur’s August 4 maximum temperature centers on the narrow gap between 33 °C and 34 °C.** Short-range forecast models show high uncertainty because typical early-August conditions—moderate trade-wind flow, scattered afternoon convection, and variable cloud cover—can easily shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Persistent low-level moisture and isolated thunderstorms, common in the region, limit surface heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, favoring outcomes near or below the long-term 32 °C average. Conversely, brief clear spells or stronger urban heat-island effects at official stations could push readings to 34 °C. With probabilities closely matched, new ECMWF or local model runs and the latest satellite-derived cloud trends over the next 48 hours will likely determine which threshold gains consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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