**Forecast models for August 2 indicate cloudy skies and scattered showers across Chongqing that are expected to limit daytime heating.** Subtropical moisture and regional atmospheric patterns are suppressing maximum temperatures relative to the city's typical August peak of 34–35 °C under clear conditions. Official guidance from monitoring agencies aligns with this moderation, placing the most likely outcome at or below 33 °C. Traders have priced this outlook heavily, with implied probability exceeding 70 % for 33 °C or lower, while probabilities for 35 °C or higher remain minimal. The next model runs and observational updates will determine whether any late intensification of heating shifts these odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日重庆气温最高?
33°C or below 72%
34°C 18%
35°C 10%
36°C 3%
$22,928 交易量
$22,928 交易量
33°C or below
72%
34°C
18%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C或更高
<1%
33°C or below 72%
34°C 18%
35°C 10%
36°C 3%
$22,928 交易量
$22,928 交易量
33°C or below
72%
34°C
18%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models for August 2 indicate cloudy skies and scattered showers across Chongqing that are expected to limit daytime heating.** Subtropical moisture and regional atmospheric patterns are suppressing maximum temperatures relative to the city's typical August peak of 34–35 °C under clear conditions. Official guidance from monitoring agencies aligns with this moderation, placing the most likely outcome at or below 33 °C. Traders have priced this outlook heavily, with implied probability exceeding 70 % for 33 °C or lower, while probabilities for 35 °C or higher remain minimal. The next model runs and observational updates will determine whether any late intensification of heating shifts these odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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