Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show consensus for a daytime maximum near 35–37°C in Wuhan on August 2, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and high humidity typical of the Yangtze River basin in early August. Scattered thundery showers noted in some guidance introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting afternoon heating through increased cloud cover or brief cooling, which helps explain the tight market spread between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Historical August averages hover around 34°C, with occasional peaks above 38°C under clear, subsiding air; traders weigh these baselines against the latest model runs and any revisions expected from updated CMA or ECMWF guidance before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日武汉气温最高？
8月2日武汉气温最高？
36°C 41%
37°C 34%
38°C 16%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
31°C或以下
<1%
32℃
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
3%
35°C
10%
36°C
41%
37°C
34%
38°C
16%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C或更高
<1%
36°C 41%
37°C 34%
38°C 16%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
31°C或以下
$260 交易量
<1%
32℃
$253 交易量
<1%
33°C
$487 交易量
<1%
34°C
$367 交易量
3%
35°C
$459 交易量
10%
36°C
$1,467 交易量
41%
37°C
$587 交易量
34%
38°C
$331 交易量
16%
39°C
$219 交易量
2%
40°C
$246 交易量
<1%
41°C或更高
$262 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show consensus for a daytime maximum near 35–37°C in Wuhan on August 2, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and high humidity typical of the Yangtze River basin in early August. Scattered thundery showers noted in some guidance introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting afternoon heating through increased cloud cover or brief cooling, which helps explain the tight market spread between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Historical August averages hover around 34°C, with occasional peaks above 38°C under clear, subsiding air; traders weigh these baselines against the latest model runs and any revisions expected from updated CMA or ECMWF guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$4,938结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show consensus for a daytime maximum near 35–37°C in Wuhan on August 2, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and high humidity typical of the Yangtze River basin in early August. Scattered thundery showers noted in some guidance introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting afternoon heating through increased cloud cover or brief cooling, which helps explain the tight market spread between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Historical August averages hover around 34°C, with occasional peaks above 38°C under clear, subsiding air; traders weigh these baselines against the latest model runs and any revisions expected from updated CMA or ECMWF guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,938结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from global models show consensus for a daytime maximum near 35–37°C in Wuhan on August 2, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and high humidity typical of the Yangtze River basin in early August. Scattered thundery showers noted in some guidance introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting afternoon heating through increased cloud cover or brief cooling, which helps explain the tight market spread between the 36°C and 37°C outcomes. Historical August averages hover around 34°C, with occasional peaks above 38°C under clear, subsiding air; traders weigh these baselines against the latest model runs and any revisions expected from updated CMA or ECMWF guidance before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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