Current forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 12°C for Wellington on August 2, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions where average highs reach about 12°C amid variable westerly flows. Trader consensus favoring 13°C (56.5% implied probability) over 12°C (32%) likely reflects minor upward adjustments in ensemble guidance or localized warming influences such as reduced cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 14°C or below 12°C account for remaining uncertainty in exact timing of frontal passages. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near-average temperatures further anchor expectations within this narrow band, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings amid Wellington’s exposed topography.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月2日惠灵顿的最高温度？
13°C 56%
12°C 32%
14°C 10%
15°C 3%
最新
$15,906 交易量
最新
$15,906 交易量
2026-08-02
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
32%
13°C
56%
14°C
10%
15°C
3%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 56%
12°C 32%
14°C 10%
15°C 3%
最新
$15,906 交易量
最新
$15,906 交易量
2026-08-02
6°C or below
$372 交易量
<1%
7°C
$382 交易量
<1%
8°C
$392 交易量
<1%
9°C
$392 交易量
<1%
10°C
$1,284 交易量
<1%
11°C
$2,866 交易量
3%
12°C
$2,967 交易量
32%
13°C
$2,832 交易量
56%
14°C
$2,458 交易量
10%
15°C
$1,624 交易量
3%
16°C or higher
$337 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 12°C for Wellington on August 2, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions where average highs reach about 12°C amid variable westerly flows. Trader consensus favoring 13°C (56.5% implied probability) over 12°C (32%) likely reflects minor upward adjustments in ensemble guidance or localized warming influences such as reduced cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 14°C or below 12°C account for remaining uncertainty in exact timing of frontal passages. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near-average temperatures further anchor expectations within this narrow band, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings amid Wellington’s exposed topography.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$15,906结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 12°C for Wellington on August 2, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions where average highs reach about 12°C amid variable westerly flows. Trader consensus favoring 13°C (56.5% implied probability) over 12°C (32%) likely reflects minor upward adjustments in ensemble guidance or localized warming influences such as reduced cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 14°C or below 12°C account for remaining uncertainty in exact timing of frontal passages. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near-average temperatures further anchor expectations within this narrow band, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings amid Wellington’s exposed topography.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,906结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a daily maximum near 12°C for Wellington on August 2, consistent with typical mid-winter conditions where average highs reach about 12°C amid variable westerly flows. Trader consensus favoring 13°C (56.5% implied probability) over 12°C (32%) likely reflects minor upward adjustments in ensemble guidance or localized warming influences such as reduced cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 14°C or below 12°C account for remaining uncertainty in exact timing of frontal passages. Seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near-average temperatures further anchor expectations within this narrow band, with resolution hinging on official maximum readings amid Wellington’s exposed topography.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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