Trader sentiment for Manila’s August 4 maximum temperature centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon (habagat) and scattered rain or thunderstorms forecast by PAGASA, which typically caps daytime peaks through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current outlooks point to 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet frequent showers can shave 2–3 °C off the maximum by limiting solar insolation. A strengthening El Niño background may favor slightly drier conditions overall, but localized convection remains the dominant near-term variable. The tight spread between 28 °C and 29 °C market leaders reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity over the next 48 hours; updated model runs and official bulletins will likely drive the next shifts in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日马尼拉的最高温度？
8月4日马尼拉的最高温度？
28°C 32%
29°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
12%
28°C
32%
29°C
30%
30°C
19%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C或更高
1%
28°C 32%
29°C 30%
30°C 19%
27°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
23°C或以下
$38 交易量
<1%
24°C
$28 交易量
<1%
25°C
$35 交易量
2%
26°C
$3 交易量
9%
27°C
$80 交易量
12%
28°C
$85 交易量
32%
29°C
$40 交易量
30%
30°C
$1 交易量
19%
31°C
$5 交易量
9%
32°C
$20 交易量
4%
33°C或更高
$52 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila’s August 4 maximum temperature centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon (habagat) and scattered rain or thunderstorms forecast by PAGASA, which typically caps daytime peaks through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current outlooks point to 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet frequent showers can shave 2–3 °C off the maximum by limiting solar insolation. A strengthening El Niño background may favor slightly drier conditions overall, but localized convection remains the dominant near-term variable. The tight spread between 28 °C and 29 °C market leaders reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity over the next 48 hours; updated model runs and official bulletins will likely drive the next shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$387结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila’s August 4 maximum temperature centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon (habagat) and scattered rain or thunderstorms forecast by PAGASA, which typically caps daytime peaks through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current outlooks point to 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet frequent showers can shave 2–3 °C off the maximum by limiting solar insolation. A strengthening El Niño background may favor slightly drier conditions overall, but localized convection remains the dominant near-term variable. The tight spread between 28 °C and 29 °C market leaders reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity over the next 48 hours; updated model runs and official bulletins will likely drive the next shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$387结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader sentiment for Manila’s August 4 maximum temperature centers on the interplay between the southwest monsoon (habagat) and scattered rain or thunderstorms forecast by PAGASA, which typically caps daytime peaks through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current outlooks point to 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies, yet frequent showers can shave 2–3 °C off the maximum by limiting solar insolation. A strengthening El Niño background may favor slightly drier conditions overall, but localized convection remains the dominant near-term variable. The tight spread between 28 °C and 29 °C market leaders reflects uncertainty in exact shower timing and intensity over the next 48 hours; updated model runs and official bulletins will likely drive the next shifts in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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