**Forecast model divergence amid a persistent subtropical heatwave is the main driver of closely matched market odds around 35–36°C.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show an African anticyclone maintaining clear skies and light winds over northern Italy, supporting strong daytime heating on August 4. Timeanddate.com projects a 101°F (38.3°C) high while BBC Weather indicates 35–36°C, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature guidance. Historical August baselines for Milan average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the ongoing fourth heatwave of the season. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日米兰最高气温？
8月4日米兰最高气温？
34°C或以下 34%
36°C 29%
35°C 28%
37°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
34°C或以下
34%
35°C
28%
36°C
29%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43℃
<1%
44°C或更高
<1%
34°C或以下 34%
36°C 29%
35°C 28%
37°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
34°C或以下
$307 交易量
34%
35°C
$262 交易量
28%
36°C
$322 交易量
29%
37°C
$179 交易量
7%
38°C
$287 交易量
3%
39°C
$166 交易量
<1%
40°C
$103 交易量
<1%
41°C
$156 交易量
<1%
42°C
$146 交易量
<1%
43℃
$146 交易量
<1%
44°C或更高
$146 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model divergence amid a persistent subtropical heatwave is the main driver of closely matched market odds around 35–36°C.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show an African anticyclone maintaining clear skies and light winds over northern Italy, supporting strong daytime heating on August 4. Timeanddate.com projects a 101°F (38.3°C) high while BBC Weather indicates 35–36°C, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature guidance. Historical August baselines for Milan average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the ongoing fourth heatwave of the season. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,217结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model divergence amid a persistent subtropical heatwave is the main driver of closely matched market odds around 35–36°C.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show an African anticyclone maintaining clear skies and light winds over northern Italy, supporting strong daytime heating on August 4. Timeanddate.com projects a 101°F (38.3°C) high while BBC Weather indicates 35–36°C, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature guidance. Historical August baselines for Milan average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the ongoing fourth heatwave of the season. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,217结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Forecast model divergence amid a persistent subtropical heatwave is the main driver of closely matched market odds around 35–36°C.** Official guidance and ensemble runs show an African anticyclone maintaining clear skies and light winds over northern Italy, supporting strong daytime heating on August 4. Timeanddate.com projects a 101°F (38.3°C) high while BBC Weather indicates 35–36°C, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in maximum temperature guidance. Historical August baselines for Milan average near 29–30°C, so current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly driven by the ongoing fourth heatwave of the season. New model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact peak before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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