Ongoing heat influenced by the North Pacific High continues to drive elevated temperatures across southeastern South Korea, with Busan recording 39°C on August 1 and nearby areas exceeding 40°C in late July. Short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and models indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C for August 4 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, consistent with typical August climatology of 29–31°C averages but shifted upward by the persistent subtropical ridge. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential before any frontal passage, positioning 34°C as the market-implied mode while uncertainty in exact steering flows and urban heat effects supports secondary odds around 35°C. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日釜山气温最高？
8月4日釜山气温最高？
34°C 38%
35°C 25%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
31°C or below
4%
32°C
5%
33°C
18%
34°C
38%
35°C
25%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C或更高
<1%
34°C 38%
35°C 25%
33°C 18%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
31°C or below
$120 交易量
4%
32°C
$115 交易量
5%
33°C
$126 交易量
18%
34°C
$1,226 交易量
38%
35°C
$117 交易量
25%
36°C
$231 交易量
10%
37°C
$146 交易量
3%
38°C
$179 交易量
3%
39°C
$13 交易量
1%
40°C
$148 交易量
<1%
41°C或更高
$359 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat influenced by the North Pacific High continues to drive elevated temperatures across southeastern South Korea, with Busan recording 39°C on August 1 and nearby areas exceeding 40°C in late July. Short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and models indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C for August 4 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, consistent with typical August climatology of 29–31°C averages but shifted upward by the persistent subtropical ridge. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential before any frontal passage, positioning 34°C as the market-implied mode while uncertainty in exact steering flows and urban heat effects supports secondary odds around 35°C. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$2,781结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heat influenced by the North Pacific High continues to drive elevated temperatures across southeastern South Korea, with Busan recording 39°C on August 1 and nearby areas exceeding 40°C in late July. Short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and models indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C for August 4 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, consistent with typical August climatology of 29–31°C averages but shifted upward by the persistent subtropical ridge. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential before any frontal passage, positioning 34°C as the market-implied mode while uncertainty in exact steering flows and urban heat effects supports secondary odds around 35°C. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,781结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETOngoing heat influenced by the North Pacific High continues to drive elevated temperatures across southeastern South Korea, with Busan recording 39°C on August 1 and nearby areas exceeding 40°C in late July. Short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and models indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C for August 4 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation, consistent with typical August climatology of 29–31°C averages but shifted upward by the persistent subtropical ridge. Model consensus shows limited intensification potential before any frontal passage, positioning 34°C as the market-implied mode while uncertainty in exact steering flows and urban heat effects supports secondary odds around 35°C. Updated KMA briefings and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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