Latest European and French meteorological model guidance points to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Paris on August 2 under persistent high-pressure conditions following the late-July heatwave across northern France. Ensemble spreads reflect moderate uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud build-up or isolated thunderstorms that could cap temperatures at 31°C or allow brief spikes toward 33°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Above-average warmth driven by southerly flow and dry air masses keeps lower values (30°C or below) at low probability while rendering extremes above 34°C unlikely without rapid model shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日巴黎气温最高？
8月2日巴黎气温最高？
32°C 50%
31°C 23%
33°C 19%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
23%
32°C
50%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 23%
33°C 19%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
28°C or below
$360 交易量
1%
29°C
$198 交易量
2%
30°C
$466 交易量
6%
31°C
$1,277 交易量
23%
32°C
$634 交易量
50%
33°C
$595 交易量
19%
34°C
$553 交易量
3%
35°C
$255 交易量
1%
36°C
$262 交易量
<1%
37°C
$187 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$254 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European and French meteorological model guidance points to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Paris on August 2 under persistent high-pressure conditions following the late-July heatwave across northern France. Ensemble spreads reflect moderate uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud build-up or isolated thunderstorms that could cap temperatures at 31°C or allow brief spikes toward 33°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Above-average warmth driven by southerly flow and dry air masses keeps lower values (30°C or below) at low probability while rendering extremes above 34°C unlikely without rapid model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,042结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European and French meteorological model guidance points to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Paris on August 2 under persistent high-pressure conditions following the late-July heatwave across northern France. Ensemble spreads reflect moderate uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud build-up or isolated thunderstorms that could cap temperatures at 31°C or allow brief spikes toward 33°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Above-average warmth driven by southerly flow and dry air masses keeps lower values (30°C or below) at low probability while rendering extremes above 34°C unlikely without rapid model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,042结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETLatest European and French meteorological model guidance points to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Paris on August 2 under persistent high-pressure conditions following the late-July heatwave across northern France. Ensemble spreads reflect moderate uncertainty from possible afternoon cloud build-up or isolated thunderstorms that could cap temperatures at 31°C or allow brief spikes toward 33°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. Above-average warmth driven by southerly flow and dry air masses keeps lower values (30°C or below) at low probability while rendering extremes above 34°C unlikely without rapid model shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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