Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall are the main factors anchoring trader sentiment for Lucknow’s August 4 maximum temperature near 30–32 °C. Recent India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a lingering monsoon trough and moisture influx that favor convective activity, limiting daytime heating and keeping highs well below pre-monsoon peaks. This produces a tight distribution among 31 °C (35.5 %), 30 °C (26.5 %), and 32 °C (22.5 %) outcomes, reflecting modest forecast spread in timing and intensity of showers. Historical August climatology for Lucknow shows similar moderation once the monsoon is established, though short-term variability in local convection can still shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated IMD short-range forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could tighten or widen these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日勒克瑙的最高温度？
8月4日勒克瑙的最高温度？
31°C 35%
30°C 27%
32°C 22%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
27%
31°C
35%
32°C
22%
33°C
8%
34°C或更高
4%
31°C 35%
30°C 27%
32°C 22%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
24°C或以下
$423 交易量
<1%
25°C
$453 交易量
<1%
26°C
$10 交易量
1%
27°C
$10 交易量
1%
28°C
$113 交易量
3%
29°C
$55 交易量
9%
30°C
$175 交易量
27%
31°C
$79 交易量
35%
32°C
$99 交易量
22%
33°C
$194 交易量
8%
34°C或更高
$71 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall are the main factors anchoring trader sentiment for Lucknow’s August 4 maximum temperature near 30–32 °C. Recent India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a lingering monsoon trough and moisture influx that favor convective activity, limiting daytime heating and keeping highs well below pre-monsoon peaks. This produces a tight distribution among 31 °C (35.5 %), 30 °C (26.5 %), and 32 °C (22.5 %) outcomes, reflecting modest forecast spread in timing and intensity of showers. Historical August climatology for Lucknow shows similar moderation once the monsoon is established, though short-term variability in local convection can still shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated IMD short-range forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could tighten or widen these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,683结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall are the main factors anchoring trader sentiment for Lucknow’s August 4 maximum temperature near 30–32 °C. Recent India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a lingering monsoon trough and moisture influx that favor convective activity, limiting daytime heating and keeping highs well below pre-monsoon peaks. This produces a tight distribution among 31 °C (35.5 %), 30 °C (26.5 %), and 32 °C (22.5 %) outcomes, reflecting modest forecast spread in timing and intensity of showers. Historical August climatology for Lucknow shows similar moderation once the monsoon is established, though short-term variability in local convection can still shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated IMD short-range forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could tighten or widen these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,683结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 1:03 AM ETMonsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered rainfall are the main factors anchoring trader sentiment for Lucknow’s August 4 maximum temperature near 30–32 °C. Recent India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a lingering monsoon trough and moisture influx that favor convective activity, limiting daytime heating and keeping highs well below pre-monsoon peaks. This produces a tight distribution among 31 °C (35.5 %), 30 °C (26.5 %), and 32 °C (22.5 %) outcomes, reflecting modest forecast spread in timing and intensity of showers. Historical August climatology for Lucknow shows similar moderation once the monsoon is established, though short-term variability in local convection can still shift the observed maximum by 1–2 °C. Updated IMD short-range forecasts and satellite observations over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could tighten or widen these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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