Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major models including GFS and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in Shanghai on August 4 clustering tightly between 34–35 °C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification amid persistently high humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon. Recent days of above-normal heat have primed the surface for strong diurnal warming, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 34 °C; clearer skies would favor 35 °C. Updated model cycles and official Shanghai Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日上海气温最高？
8月4日上海气温最高？
34°C 37%
35°C 37%
33°C 16%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
16%
34°C
37%
35°C
37%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
4%
39°C或更高
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 37%
33°C 16%
36°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
29°C or below
$41 交易量
<1%
30°C
$104 交易量
1%
31°C
$69 交易量
2%
32°C
$203 交易量
3%
33°C
$647 交易量
16%
34°C
$228 交易量
37%
35°C
$772 交易量
37%
36°C
$117 交易量
10%
37°C
$58 交易量
2%
38°C
$125 交易量
4%
39°C或更高
$81 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major models including GFS and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in Shanghai on August 4 clustering tightly between 34–35 °C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification amid persistently high humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon. Recent days of above-normal heat have primed the surface for strong diurnal warming, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 34 °C; clearer skies would favor 35 °C. Updated model cycles and official Shanghai Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,445结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major models including GFS and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in Shanghai on August 4 clustering tightly between 34–35 °C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification amid persistently high humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon. Recent days of above-normal heat have primed the surface for strong diurnal warming, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 34 °C; clearer skies would favor 35 °C. Updated model cycles and official Shanghai Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,445结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from major models including GFS and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in Shanghai on August 4 clustering tightly between 34–35 °C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification amid persistently high humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon. Recent days of above-normal heat have primed the surface for strong diurnal warming, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 34 °C; clearer skies would favor 35 °C. Updated model cycles and official Shanghai Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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