Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services point to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Shanghai on August 3, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical August monsoon humidity that limits overnight cooling. Model runs show minor disagreements on cloud cover and timing of any sea-breeze moderation, creating the tight clustering around 34–35°C in trader pricing. Historical August data place average highs near 32°C with frequent excursions above 35°C, but no major typhoon or cold front is expected in the immediate window to shift outcomes sharply. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日上海气温最高?
35°C 37%
34°C 31%
33°C 16%
36°C 12%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
16%
34°C
31%
35°C
37%
36°C
12%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 37%
34°C 31%
33°C 16%
36°C 12%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
16%
34°C
31%
35°C
37%
36°C
12%
37°C
4%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services point to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Shanghai on August 3, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical August monsoon humidity that limits overnight cooling. Model runs show minor disagreements on cloud cover and timing of any sea-breeze moderation, creating the tight clustering around 34–35°C in trader pricing. Historical August data place average highs near 32°C with frequent excursions above 35°C, but no major typhoon or cold front is expected in the immediate window to shift outcomes sharply. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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