Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 2 will likely fall between 27–28°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at those levels. Shanghai's subtropical summer climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and persistent high-pressure systems, typically produces overnight lows near the seasonal average of 25–26°C, with urban heat retention and humidity preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show no significant cold fronts or typhoon influences in the immediate 48-hour window, supporting the consensus around 28°C while allowing modest variance to 27°C if cloud cover increases. Upcoming NHC and local agency updates on steering patterns could refine these projections before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日上海最低气温？
8月2日上海最低气温？
28°C 50%
27°C 22%
29°C 9%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
50%
29°C
9%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
28°C 50%
27°C 22%
29°C 9%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
23°C或以下
$584 交易量
<1%
24°C
$522 交易量
<1%
25°C
$222 交易量
2%
26°C
$276 交易量
7%
27°C
$941 交易量
22%
28°C
$1,884 交易量
50%
29°C
$531 交易量
9%
30°C
$192 交易量
<1%
31°C
$339 交易量
1%
32°C
$250 交易量
<1%
33°C或更高
$776 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 2 will likely fall between 27–28°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at those levels. Shanghai's subtropical summer climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and persistent high-pressure systems, typically produces overnight lows near the seasonal average of 25–26°C, with urban heat retention and humidity preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show no significant cold fronts or typhoon influences in the immediate 48-hour window, supporting the consensus around 28°C while allowing modest variance to 27°C if cloud cover increases. Upcoming NHC and local agency updates on steering patterns could refine these projections before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$6,516结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 2 will likely fall between 27–28°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at those levels. Shanghai's subtropical summer climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and persistent high-pressure systems, typically produces overnight lows near the seasonal average of 25–26°C, with urban heat retention and humidity preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show no significant cold fronts or typhoon influences in the immediate 48-hour window, supporting the consensus around 28°C while allowing modest variance to 27°C if cloud cover increases. Upcoming NHC and local agency updates on steering patterns could refine these projections before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,516结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional meteorological services indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 2 will likely fall between 27–28°C, aligning with the market's strongest implied probabilities at those levels. Shanghai's subtropical summer climate, driven by the East Asian monsoon and persistent high-pressure systems, typically produces overnight lows near the seasonal average of 25–26°C, with urban heat retention and humidity preventing sharper drops. Recent model runs show no significant cold fronts or typhoon influences in the immediate 48-hour window, supporting the consensus around 28°C while allowing modest variance to 27°C if cloud cover increases. Upcoming NHC and local agency updates on steering patterns could refine these projections before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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