Recent ensemble forecasts from European models show Munich's August 4 maximum likely reaching 35–36 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air, with limited cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those outcomes, while the narrower spread to 37 °C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any afternoon convective development or slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August extremes in Munich rarely exceed 34 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup deviates from climatology and supports the tight clustering around the leading probabilities. Updated runs from DWD and ECMWF ahead of the date will likely refine the precise peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日慕尼黑气温最高？
8月4日慕尼黑气温最高？
36°C 35%
35°C 32%
37°C 18%
34°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
13%
35°C
32%
36°C
35%
37°C
18%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
2%
36°C 35%
35°C 32%
37°C 18%
34°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
30°C or below
$510 交易量
<1%
31°C
$108 交易量
1%
32°C
$42 交易量
4%
33°C
$226 交易量
3%
34°C
$413 交易量
13%
35°C
$548 交易量
32%
36°C
$444 交易量
35%
37°C
$167 交易量
18%
38°C
$136 交易量
4%
39°C
$32 交易量
2%
40°C or higher
$15 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models show Munich's August 4 maximum likely reaching 35–36 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air, with limited cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those outcomes, while the narrower spread to 37 °C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any afternoon convective development or slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August extremes in Munich rarely exceed 34 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup deviates from climatology and supports the tight clustering around the leading probabilities. Updated runs from DWD and ECMWF ahead of the date will likely refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,612结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models show Munich's August 4 maximum likely reaching 35–36 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air, with limited cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those outcomes, while the narrower spread to 37 °C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any afternoon convective development or slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August extremes in Munich rarely exceed 34 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup deviates from climatology and supports the tight clustering around the leading probabilities. Updated runs from DWD and ECMWF ahead of the date will likely refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,612结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from European models show Munich's August 4 maximum likely reaching 35–36 °C under a persistent high-pressure ridge advecting warm subtropical air, with limited cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those outcomes, while the narrower spread to 37 °C reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any afternoon convective development or slight model differences in boundary-layer mixing. Historical August extremes in Munich rarely exceed 34 °C, underscoring how the current synoptic setup deviates from climatology and supports the tight clustering around the leading probabilities. Updated runs from DWD and ECMWF ahead of the date will likely refine the precise peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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