Singapore's equatorial climate typically delivers afternoon highs near 31°C in early August, but an emerging El Niño combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole is driving warmer, drier conditions that support elevated maxima. Official forecasts from Singapore's NEA and meteorological services currently project 32–34°C on August 2 amid afternoon thundery showers that may cap peak readings, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 32°C and 33°C. Recent model runs and climatological analogs indicate limited potential for 34°C+ absent suppressed convection, while historical data show such outliers remain infrequent even during enhanced monsoon periods. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance and regional sea-surface temperature anomalies as the dominant near-term drivers ahead of the daily official observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新加坡8月2日的最高温度?
32°C 50%
33°C 32%
31°C 18%
30°C 3%
$11,227 交易量
$11,227 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
50%
33°C
32%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 32%
31°C 18%
30°C 3%
$11,227 交易量
$11,227 交易量
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
50%
33°C
32%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Singapore's equatorial climate typically delivers afternoon highs near 31°C in early August, but an emerging El Niño combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole is driving warmer, drier conditions that support elevated maxima. Official forecasts from Singapore's NEA and meteorological services currently project 32–34°C on August 2 amid afternoon thundery showers that may cap peak readings, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 32°C and 33°C. Recent model runs and climatological analogs indicate limited potential for 34°C+ absent suppressed convection, while historical data show such outliers remain infrequent even during enhanced monsoon periods. Traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance and regional sea-surface temperature anomalies as the dominant near-term drivers ahead of the daily official observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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