Current forecast models and observational trends position 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s August 26 minimum, reflecting late-summer climatology where nighttime lows typically stabilize near 25–27°C amid high humidity and weak diurnal cooling. Recent data show August 20 resolving at 27°C, with ongoing warm, moist conditions and scattered showers or thunderstorms suppressing further drops, as indicated by extended guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com projecting a 25°C low alongside highs near 33°C. No major cold-air intrusion or typhoon-related cooling is expected in the short term, keeping probabilities concentrated on these values while lower or higher extremes remain less likely without model shifts in the next 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日上海最低溫度?
27°C 44%
30°C 37%
26°C 32%
22°C or below 28%
22°C or below
28%
23°C
15%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C
32%
27°C
44%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
37%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
23%
27°C 44%
30°C 37%
26°C 32%
22°C or below 28%
22°C or below
28%
23°C
15%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C
32%
27°C
44%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
37%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models and observational trends position 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s August 26 minimum, reflecting late-summer climatology where nighttime lows typically stabilize near 25–27°C amid high humidity and weak diurnal cooling. Recent data show August 20 resolving at 27°C, with ongoing warm, moist conditions and scattered showers or thunderstorms suppressing further drops, as indicated by extended guidance from sources such as timeanddate.com projecting a 25°C low alongside highs near 33°C. No major cold-air intrusion or typhoon-related cooling is expected in the short term, keeping probabilities concentrated on these values while lower or higher extremes remain less likely without model shifts in the next 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions