Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 27–28 °C for Madrid on August 26, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and cooler maritime air advection following a recent regional cooling trend. Official AEMET guidance and surface observations show daytime maxima 2–4 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.9 °C, with partly cloudy skies limiting insolation and surface heating. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced near 50 % on both 35 °C+ and 25 °C-or-below outcomes because model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates residual uncertainty within the final 48-hour window, even as most deterministic runs cluster in the upper 20s °C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月26日馬德裏氣溫最高？
29°C 43%
30°C 37%
28°C 25%
26°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
25°C or below
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
9%
28°C
25%
29°C
43%
30°C
37%
31°C
9%
32°C
8%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
29°C 43%
30°C 37%
28°C 25%
26°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
25°C or below
$5 交易量
5%
26°C
$0 交易量
13%
27°C
$0 交易量
9%
28°C
$0 交易量
25%
29°C
$5 交易量
43%
30°C
$0 交易量
37%
31°C
$0 交易量
9%
32°C
$0 交易量
8%
33°C
$5 交易量
5%
34°C
$0 交易量
4%
35°C or higher
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 27–28 °C for Madrid on August 26, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and cooler maritime air advection following a recent regional cooling trend. Official AEMET guidance and surface observations show daytime maxima 2–4 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.9 °C, with partly cloudy skies limiting insolation and surface heating. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced near 50 % on both 35 °C+ and 25 °C-or-below outcomes because model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates residual uncertainty within the final 48-hour window, even as most deterministic runs cluster in the upper 20s °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$15結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 27–28 °C for Madrid on August 26, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and cooler maritime air advection following a recent regional cooling trend. Official AEMET guidance and surface observations show daytime maxima 2–4 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.9 °C, with partly cloudy skies limiting insolation and surface heating. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced near 50 % on both 35 °C+ and 25 °C-or-below outcomes because model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates residual uncertainty within the final 48-hour window, even as most deterministic runs cluster in the upper 20s °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS indicate a highest temperature near 27–28 °C for Madrid on August 26, driven by increased cloud cover, southwesterly flow, and cooler maritime air advection following a recent regional cooling trend. Official AEMET guidance and surface observations show daytime maxima 2–4 °C below the 1991–2020 climatological average of 30.9 °C, with partly cloudy skies limiting insolation and surface heating. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced near 50 % on both 35 °C+ and 25 °C-or-below outcomes because model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates residual uncertainty within the final 48-hour window, even as most deterministic runs cluster in the upper 20s °C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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