Persistent high-pressure systems and a strengthening heat dome across Texas have driven above-average temperatures in Austin, with official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus targeting afternoon highs of 104–105°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 104–105°F (51.5%) and 106–107°F (41.0%), reflecting trader assessment of slight upward variance possible from localized heating or model spread. The projected peak substantially exceeds the August climatological average high near 96–101°F, supported by recent extreme heat warnings and observed readings already approaching or exceeding 100°F earlier in the month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月23日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
104-105°F 52%
106-107°F 42%
108-109°F 2.8%
102-103°F 2%
$20,428 交易量
$20,428 交易量
2026-08-23
華氏95度或以下
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
52%
106-107°F
42%
108-109°F
3%
110-111華氏度
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
華氏114度或更高
<1%
104-105°F 52%
106-107°F 42%
108-109°F 2.8%
102-103°F 2%
$20,428 交易量
$20,428 交易量
2026-08-23
華氏95度或以下
$299 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$463 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$217 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$1,669 交易量
1%
102-103°F
$3,623 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$4,293 交易量
52%
106-107°F
$5,706 交易量
42%
108-109°F
$2,571 交易量
3%
110-111華氏度
$948 交易量
<1%
112-113°F
$302 交易量
<1%
華氏114度或更高
$337 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and a strengthening heat dome across Texas have driven above-average temperatures in Austin, with official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus targeting afternoon highs of 104–105°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 104–105°F (51.5%) and 106–107°F (41.0%), reflecting trader assessment of slight upward variance possible from localized heating or model spread. The projected peak substantially exceeds the August climatological average high near 96–101°F, supported by recent extreme heat warnings and observed readings already approaching or exceeding 100°F earlier in the month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$20,428結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems and a strengthening heat dome across Texas have driven above-average temperatures in Austin, with official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus targeting afternoon highs of 104–105°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 104–105°F (51.5%) and 106–107°F (41.0%), reflecting trader assessment of slight upward variance possible from localized heating or model spread. The projected peak substantially exceeds the August climatological average high near 96–101°F, supported by recent extreme heat warnings and observed readings already approaching or exceeding 100°F earlier in the month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,428結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETPersistent high-pressure systems and a strengthening heat dome across Texas have driven above-average temperatures in Austin, with official National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus targeting afternoon highs of 104–105°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes at 104–105°F (51.5%) and 106–107°F (41.0%), reflecting trader assessment of slight upward variance possible from localized heating or model spread. The projected peak substantially exceeds the August climatological average high near 96–101°F, supported by recent extreme heat warnings and observed readings already approaching or exceeding 100°F earlier in the month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions