Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions 104-105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, reflecting a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that favors continued heat with limited cloud cover or moisture. Consensus forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate show afternoon maxima near 104°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with August climatology that routinely produces upper-90s to low-100s readings but with this episode running slightly above normal. Minor model spread and potential for slight timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary introduce the secondary probability mass at 102-103°F, while warmer outliers remain low-probability absent unexpected ridging intensification. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
8月24日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
104-105°F 55%
102-103°F 32%
106-107°F 12%
100-101°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
95°F或以下
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
32%
104-105°F
55%
106-107°F
12%
108-109華氏度
3%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
1%
114°F或更高
<1%
104-105°F 55%
102-103°F 32%
106-107°F 12%
100-101°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
95°F或以下
$65 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$158 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$130 交易量
1%
100-101°F
$295 交易量
4%
102-103°F
$658 交易量
32%
104-105°F
$1,455 交易量
55%
106-107°F
$254 交易量
12%
108-109華氏度
$143 交易量
3%
110-111°F
$143 交易量
1%
112-113°F
$117 交易量
1%
114°F或更高
$131 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions 104-105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, reflecting a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that favors continued heat with limited cloud cover or moisture. Consensus forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate show afternoon maxima near 104°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with August climatology that routinely produces upper-90s to low-100s readings but with this episode running slightly above normal. Minor model spread and potential for slight timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary introduce the secondary probability mass at 102-103°F, while warmer outliers remain low-probability absent unexpected ridging intensification. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$3,547結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions 104-105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, reflecting a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that favors continued heat with limited cloud cover or moisture. Consensus forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate show afternoon maxima near 104°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with August climatology that routinely produces upper-90s to low-100s readings but with this episode running slightly above normal. Minor model spread and potential for slight timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary introduce the secondary probability mass at 102-103°F, while warmer outliers remain low-probability absent unexpected ridging intensification. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,547結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance positions 104-105°F as the leading outcome for Austin’s August 24 high, reflecting a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that favors continued heat with limited cloud cover or moisture. Consensus forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate show afternoon maxima near 104°F under mostly sunny skies, consistent with August climatology that routinely produces upper-90s to low-100s readings but with this episode running slightly above normal. Minor model spread and potential for slight timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary introduce the secondary probability mass at 102-103°F, while warmer outliers remain low-probability absent unexpected ridging intensification. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final data traders are weighting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions