Persistent high pressure and a warm southerly flow have kept overnight lows elevated across central Texas, with current forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models pointing to a minimum of 78–82 °F in Austin on August 23. Clear skies overnight support modest radiational cooling, yet the deep warm airmass—reflected in daytime highs exceeding 104 °F—limits how far temperatures can fall. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around the 74–77 °F bins while assigning negligible probability to readings below 72 °F or above 80 °F. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will determine whether the low settles near the upper end of the favored range or edges slightly cooler under lighter winds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧斯汀8月23日的最低溫度？
奧斯汀8月23日的最低溫度？
74-75°F 87%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$2,129 交易量
$2,129 交易量
2026-08-23
華氏71度或以下
-
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
78%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
華氏90度或更高
<1%
74-75°F 87%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$2,129 交易量
$2,129 交易量
2026-08-23
華氏71度或以下
$41 交易量
-
72-73°F
$78 交易量
33%
74-75°F
$181 交易量
78%
76-77°F
$245 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$100 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$100 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$100 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$858 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$165 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$399 交易量
<1%
華氏90度或更高
$200 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a warm southerly flow have kept overnight lows elevated across central Texas, with current forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models pointing to a minimum of 78–82 °F in Austin on August 23. Clear skies overnight support modest radiational cooling, yet the deep warm airmass—reflected in daytime highs exceeding 104 °F—limits how far temperatures can fall. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around the 74–77 °F bins while assigning negligible probability to readings below 72 °F or above 80 °F. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will determine whether the low settles near the upper end of the favored range or edges slightly cooler under lighter winds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,129結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a warm southerly flow have kept overnight lows elevated across central Texas, with current forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models pointing to a minimum of 78–82 °F in Austin on August 23. Clear skies overnight support modest radiational cooling, yet the deep warm airmass—reflected in daytime highs exceeding 104 °F—limits how far temperatures can fall. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around the 74–77 °F bins while assigning negligible probability to readings below 72 °F or above 80 °F. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will determine whether the low settles near the upper end of the favored range or edges slightly cooler under lighter winds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,129結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETPersistent high pressure and a warm southerly flow have kept overnight lows elevated across central Texas, with current forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models pointing to a minimum of 78–82 °F in Austin on August 23. Clear skies overnight support modest radiational cooling, yet the deep warm airmass—reflected in daytime highs exceeding 104 °F—limits how far temperatures can fall. This aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around the 74–77 °F bins while assigning negligible probability to readings below 72 °F or above 80 °F. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will determine whether the low settles near the upper end of the favored range or edges slightly cooler under lighter winds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions