Singapore's equatorial climate and prevailing southwest monsoon conditions position 33°C as the leading outcome for the daily maximum on August 24, consistent with Meteorological Service Singapore outlooks projecting 33–34°C on most days in the second half of the month. Recent drier regional weather has enabled several days to reach or exceed 34°C, including a 34.9°C reading mid-August, while high humidity, dew points near 24–26°C, and afternoon thundery shower chances moderate further intensification by limiting insolation. Numerical guidance and historical August analogs at stations like Changi cluster around 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow observed range, with lower odds on 32°C or 34°C tied to uncertainty in exact convection timing ahead of updated MSS nowcasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡8月24日的最高溫度?
33°C 64%
32°C 20%
34°C 16%
30°C 2%
$15,211 交易量
$15,211 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
64%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
2%
33°C 64%
32°C 20%
34°C 16%
30°C 2%
$15,211 交易量
$15,211 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
64%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Singapore's equatorial climate and prevailing southwest monsoon conditions position 33°C as the leading outcome for the daily maximum on August 24, consistent with Meteorological Service Singapore outlooks projecting 33–34°C on most days in the second half of the month. Recent drier regional weather has enabled several days to reach or exceed 34°C, including a 34.9°C reading mid-August, while high humidity, dew points near 24–26°C, and afternoon thundery shower chances moderate further intensification by limiting insolation. Numerical guidance and historical August analogs at stations like Changi cluster around 31–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow observed range, with lower odds on 32°C or 34°C tied to uncertainty in exact convection timing ahead of updated MSS nowcasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions