Current forecasts for Shenzhen on August 26 center on a daytime maximum of 30–32°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity moderating solar heating. These factors—particularly the timing and intensity of rainfall—create tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes, as breaks in overcast skies could briefly allow peaks near 32°C while prolonged precipitation favors 30°C. Ensemble model consensus and climatological August baselines near 31–32°C underpin the balanced probabilities, though forecast uncertainty persists until final observational data from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日深圳最高溫度?
30°C 31%
31°C 28%
32°C 18%
34°C 17%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
11%
29°C
13%
30°C
31%
31°C
28%
32°C
18%
33°C
11%
34°C
17%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 28%
32°C 18%
34°C 17%
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
11%
29°C
13%
30°C
31%
31°C
28%
32°C
18%
33°C
11%
34°C
17%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Shenzhen on August 26 center on a daytime maximum of 30–32°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity moderating solar heating. These factors—particularly the timing and intensity of rainfall—create tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes, as breaks in overcast skies could briefly allow peaks near 32°C while prolonged precipitation favors 30°C. Ensemble model consensus and climatological August baselines near 31–32°C underpin the balanced probabilities, though forecast uncertainty persists until final observational data from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions