Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a highest temperature of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 26, driven by persistent easterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors partly cloudy skies, light winds under 15 km/h, and minimal precipitation. This setup limits convective cooling while allowing daytime heating to push maxima into the low 30s Celsius, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 31°C. Model agreement across short-range guidance supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (47.5%) and 32°C (35%), with the modest 13.5% on 33°C reflecting residual uncertainty from potential minor cloud variations or urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日上海最高溫度？
8月26日上海最高溫度？
31°C 47%
32°C 37%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
47%
32°C
37%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 37%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
26°C or below
$40 交易量
<1%
27°C
$40 交易量
<1%
28°C
$30 交易量
<1%
29°C
$403 交易量
3%
30°C
$211 交易量
8%
31°C
$1,014 交易量
47%
32°C
$100 交易量
37%
33°C
$56 交易量
11%
34°C
$207 交易量
3%
35°C
$0 交易量
6%
36°C or higher
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a highest temperature of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 26, driven by persistent easterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors partly cloudy skies, light winds under 15 km/h, and minimal precipitation. This setup limits convective cooling while allowing daytime heating to push maxima into the low 30s Celsius, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 31°C. Model agreement across short-range guidance supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (47.5%) and 32°C (35%), with the modest 13.5% on 33°C reflecting residual uncertainty from potential minor cloud variations or urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,617結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a highest temperature of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 26, driven by persistent easterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors partly cloudy skies, light winds under 15 km/h, and minimal precipitation. This setup limits convective cooling while allowing daytime heating to push maxima into the low 30s Celsius, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 31°C. Model agreement across short-range guidance supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (47.5%) and 32°C (35%), with the modest 13.5% on 33°C reflecting residual uncertainty from potential minor cloud variations or urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,617結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from multiple meteorological sources converge on a highest temperature of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 26, driven by persistent easterly flow under a subtropical high-pressure ridge that favors partly cloudy skies, light winds under 15 km/h, and minimal precipitation. This setup limits convective cooling while allowing daytime heating to push maxima into the low 30s Celsius, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 31°C. Model agreement across short-range guidance supports the market’s heaviest weighting on 31°C (47.5%) and 32°C (35%), with the modest 13.5% on 33°C reflecting residual uncertainty from potential minor cloud variations or urban heat-island effects. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions