Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC Weather point to minimum temperatures in Qingdao on August 26 around 23–26°C under mostly cloudy to sunny conditions with light southerly winds and high humidity. This narrow range near historical August averages fuels the near-even split between 22°C-or-below and 32°C-or-higher outcomes, as small shifts in overnight cloud cover, sea-breeze effects, or model runs could push the daily low either way. Coastal location adds variability from marine air masses, while no major weather systems are expected to alter the baseline in the next 48 hours. Updated model guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日青島最低氣溫?
22°C或以下 95%
32°C或以上 60%
26°C 50%
23°C 49%
22°C或以下
95%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
2%
29°C
43%
30°C
43%
31°C
43%
32°C或以上
60%
22°C或以下 95%
32°C或以上 60%
26°C 50%
23°C 49%
22°C或以下
95%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
2%
29°C
43%
30°C
43%
31°C
43%
32°C或以上
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources like the Met Office and BBC Weather point to minimum temperatures in Qingdao on August 26 around 23–26°C under mostly cloudy to sunny conditions with light southerly winds and high humidity. This narrow range near historical August averages fuels the near-even split between 22°C-or-below and 32°C-or-higher outcomes, as small shifts in overnight cloud cover, sea-breeze effects, or model runs could push the daily low either way. Coastal location adds variability from marine air masses, while no major weather systems are expected to alter the baseline in the next 48 hours. Updated model guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions