Current forecast models for Qingdao indicate minimum temperatures centered near 25–27°C on August 24 amid scattered thunderstorms, light rain, and moderate southerly flow, producing closely matched market-implied odds with 27°C leading at 28.5% and 22°C-or-below at 27.5%. The Yellow Sea’s marine influence typically limits nocturnal cooling and extremes relative to the August climatological average low near 24°C, while cloud cover and precipitation can enhance radiative cooling to push readings lower. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage, sea-breeze shifts, and model spread typical for coastal East Asia monsoon regimes, with warmer outcomes possible under clearer skies. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日青島最低氣溫?
22°C或以下 55%
32°C或更高 48%
27°C 37%
28°C 37%
22°C或以下
55%
23°C
8%
24°C
14%
25°C
15%
26°C
20%
27°C
32%
28°C
37%
29°C
10%
30°C
14%
31°C
14%
32°C或更高
48%
22°C或以下 55%
32°C或更高 48%
27°C 37%
28°C 37%
22°C或以下
55%
23°C
8%
24°C
14%
25°C
15%
26°C
20%
27°C
32%
28°C
37%
29°C
10%
30°C
14%
31°C
14%
32°C或更高
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models for Qingdao indicate minimum temperatures centered near 25–27°C on August 24 amid scattered thunderstorms, light rain, and moderate southerly flow, producing closely matched market-implied odds with 27°C leading at 28.5% and 22°C-or-below at 27.5%. The Yellow Sea’s marine influence typically limits nocturnal cooling and extremes relative to the August climatological average low near 24°C, while cloud cover and precipitation can enhance radiative cooling to push readings lower. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage, sea-breeze shifts, and model spread typical for coastal East Asia monsoon regimes, with warmer outcomes possible under clearer skies. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will clarify these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions