Current forecasts from regional models and official sources indicate Qingdao’s overnight minimum will likely settle near 26–28°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and steady southeast winds that limit radiative cooling. Marine influence from the Yellow Sea and scattered showers further stabilize temperatures, keeping the low from dropping toward historical August averages around 23–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 69.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with the latest hourly guidance showing minimal overnight decline, while the secondary 29% weighting on 26°C accounts for slight model spread on exact timing of any clearing. Updated NMC and international runs expected this evening will refine the final reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日青島最低氣溫？
8月23日青島最低氣溫？
27°C 89%
26°C 37%
24°C 32%
25°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
20%
24°C
32%
25°C
23%
26°C
29%
27°C
70%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
27°C 89%
26°C 37%
24°C 32%
25°C 23%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
21°C或以下
$134 交易量
<1%
22°C
$246 交易量
1%
23°C
$365 交易量
20%
24°C
$98 交易量
32%
25°C
$72 交易量
23%
26°C
$21 交易量
29%
27°C
$76 交易量
70%
28°C
$302 交易量
<1%
29°C
$404 交易量
<1%
30°C
$150 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$215 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and official sources indicate Qingdao’s overnight minimum will likely settle near 26–28°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and steady southeast winds that limit radiative cooling. Marine influence from the Yellow Sea and scattered showers further stabilize temperatures, keeping the low from dropping toward historical August averages around 23–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 69.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with the latest hourly guidance showing minimal overnight decline, while the secondary 29% weighting on 26°C accounts for slight model spread on exact timing of any clearing. Updated NMC and international runs expected this evening will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,083結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and official sources indicate Qingdao’s overnight minimum will likely settle near 26–28°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and steady southeast winds that limit radiative cooling. Marine influence from the Yellow Sea and scattered showers further stabilize temperatures, keeping the low from dropping toward historical August averages around 23–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 69.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with the latest hourly guidance showing minimal overnight decline, while the secondary 29% weighting on 26°C accounts for slight model spread on exact timing of any clearing. Updated NMC and international runs expected this evening will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,083結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent forecasts from regional models and official sources indicate Qingdao’s overnight minimum will likely settle near 26–28°C under persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90%, and steady southeast winds that limit radiative cooling. Marine influence from the Yellow Sea and scattered showers further stabilize temperatures, keeping the low from dropping toward historical August averages around 23–25°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 69.5% implied probability for 27°C aligns with the latest hourly guidance showing minimal overnight decline, while the secondary 29% weighting on 26°C accounts for slight model spread on exact timing of any clearing. Updated NMC and international runs expected this evening will refine the final reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions