Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate nighttime lows on August 25 likely ranging 24–27°C, driven by the Yellow Sea's maritime moderation that limits radiative cooling and typical late-summer humidity levels around 75–80%. Overcast or light rain conditions earlier in the week (August 23–24) may enhance cloud cover effects, reducing overnight temperature drops compared to clear-sky baselines. Model consensus from sources like Trip.com and timeanddate.com centers on 26°C lows amid southerly flows, while historical August averages hover near 23–24°C. This uncertainty in steering patterns and local sea-surface temperatures explains market-implied odds favoring 22°C or below as the leading outcome, with mid-20s bins capturing the bulk of remaining trader consensus ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日青島最低氣溫?
32°C或更高 48%
22°C或以下 45%
30°C 43%
25°C 28%
22°C或以下
45%
23°C
24%
24°C
23%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
2%
30°C
43%
31°C
22%
32°C或更高
48%
32°C或更高 48%
22°C或以下 45%
30°C 43%
25°C 28%
22°C或以下
45%
23°C
24%
24°C
23%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
2%
30°C
43%
31°C
22%
32°C或更高
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate nighttime lows on August 25 likely ranging 24–27°C, driven by the Yellow Sea's maritime moderation that limits radiative cooling and typical late-summer humidity levels around 75–80%. Overcast or light rain conditions earlier in the week (August 23–24) may enhance cloud cover effects, reducing overnight temperature drops compared to clear-sky baselines. Model consensus from sources like Trip.com and timeanddate.com centers on 26°C lows amid southerly flows, while historical August averages hover near 23–24°C. This uncertainty in steering patterns and local sea-surface temperatures explains market-implied odds favoring 22°C or below as the leading outcome, with mid-20s bins capturing the bulk of remaining trader consensus ahead of final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions