**Trader consensus at 100% for a 31°C high on August 23 in Qingdao reflects current meteorological forecasts and real-time observations converging on that exact maximum.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including warm, humid air masses influenced by regional pressure patterns, support daytime peaks near this level, consistent with historical averages around 28–30°C and recent days reaching 31–32°C. Multiple models show hourly readings climbing to 31–32°C before afternoon cooling from increased cloud cover or showers. The market-implied odds embed this consensus from skin-in-the-game assessments of official guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from heavier or earlier precipitation suppressing the peak below 31°C, or localized microclimate variations not fully captured in broader forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日青島氣溫最高？
8月23日青島氣溫最高？
31°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$27,777 交易量
$27,777 交易量
2026-08-23
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
31°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$27,777 交易量
$27,777 交易量
2026-08-23
24°C或以下
$259 交易量
<1%
25°C
$328 交易量
<1%
26°C
$215 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,170 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,877 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,646 交易量
<1%
30°C
$7,028 交易量
<1%
31°C
$5,619 交易量
100%
32°C
$3,248 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,935 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$1,452 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 31°C high on August 23 in Qingdao reflects current meteorological forecasts and real-time observations converging on that exact maximum.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including warm, humid air masses influenced by regional pressure patterns, support daytime peaks near this level, consistent with historical averages around 28–30°C and recent days reaching 31–32°C. Multiple models show hourly readings climbing to 31–32°C before afternoon cooling from increased cloud cover or showers. The market-implied odds embed this consensus from skin-in-the-game assessments of official guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from heavier or earlier precipitation suppressing the peak below 31°C, or localized microclimate variations not fully captured in broader forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$27,777結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 31°C high on August 23 in Qingdao reflects current meteorological forecasts and real-time observations converging on that exact maximum.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including warm, humid air masses influenced by regional pressure patterns, support daytime peaks near this level, consistent with historical averages around 28–30°C and recent days reaching 31–32°C. Multiple models show hourly readings climbing to 31–32°C before afternoon cooling from increased cloud cover or showers. The market-implied odds embed this consensus from skin-in-the-game assessments of official guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from heavier or earlier precipitation suppressing the peak below 31°C, or localized microclimate variations not fully captured in broader forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,777結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Trader consensus at 100% for a 31°C high on August 23 in Qingdao reflects current meteorological forecasts and real-time observations converging on that exact maximum.** Late-summer atmospheric conditions, including warm, humid air masses influenced by regional pressure patterns, support daytime peaks near this level, consistent with historical averages around 28–30°C and recent days reaching 31–32°C. Multiple models show hourly readings climbing to 31–32°C before afternoon cooling from increased cloud cover or showers. The market-implied odds embed this consensus from skin-in-the-game assessments of official guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from heavier or earlier precipitation suppressing the peak below 31°C, or localized microclimate variations not fully captured in broader forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions