Forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models centers on a daily maximum near 30°C for coastal Qingdao on August 24, 2026, due to lingering summer monsoon moisture, scattered showers, and moderate southerly flow that limits daytime heating. The Yellow Sea's marine influence typically suppresses maxima by 1–3°C relative to inland areas, while variable cloud cover adds uncertainty to solar insolation and peak temperatures. These factors explain the market's clustering around 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as traders weigh the potential for slightly warmer conditions if skies clear or winds shift, against the risk of enhanced cooling from precipitation. Model spread in this monsoon-influenced zone and the timing of any frontal passages remain key variables ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日青島氣溫最高?
32°C 45%
33°C 30%
31°C 14%
30°C 5%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
45%
33°C
30%
34°C或以上
5%
32°C 45%
33°C 30%
31°C 14%
30°C 5%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
45%
33°C
30%
34°C或以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models centers on a daily maximum near 30°C for coastal Qingdao on August 24, 2026, due to lingering summer monsoon moisture, scattered showers, and moderate southerly flow that limits daytime heating. The Yellow Sea's marine influence typically suppresses maxima by 1–3°C relative to inland areas, while variable cloud cover adds uncertainty to solar insolation and peak temperatures. These factors explain the market's clustering around 32°C and 33°C outcomes, as traders weigh the potential for slightly warmer conditions if skies clear or winds shift, against the risk of enhanced cooling from precipitation. Model spread in this monsoon-influenced zone and the timing of any frontal passages remain key variables ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions