Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major models including GFS and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in Shanghai on August 4 clustering tightly between 34–35 °C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification amid persistently high humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon. Recent days of above-normal heat have primed the surface for strong diurnal warming, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 34 °C; clearer skies would favor 35 °C. Updated model cycles and official Shanghai Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日の上海の最高気温は？
8月4日の上海の最高気温は？
34°C 37%
35°C 37%
33°C 16%
36°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
16%
34°C
37%
35°C
37%
36°C
10%
37°C
2%
38°C
4%
39℃以上
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 37%
33°C 16%
36°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
29°C or below
$41 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$104 Vol.
1%
31°C
$69 Vol.
2%
32°C
$203 Vol.
3%
33°C
$647 Vol.
16%
34°C
$228 Vol.
37%
35°C
$772 Vol.
37%
36°C
$117 Vol.
10%
37°C
$58 Vol.
2%
38°C
$125 Vol.
4%
39℃以上
$81 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major models including GFS and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in Shanghai on August 4 clustering tightly between 34–35 °C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification amid persistently high humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon. Recent days of above-normal heat have primed the surface for strong diurnal warming, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 34 °C; clearer skies would favor 35 °C. Updated model cycles and official Shanghai Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$2,445終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from major models including GFS and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in Shanghai on August 4 clustering tightly between 34–35 °C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification amid persistently high humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon. Recent days of above-normal heat have primed the surface for strong diurnal warming, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 34 °C; clearer skies would favor 35 °C. Updated model cycles and official Shanghai Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,445終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from major models including GFS and ECMWF show maximum temperatures in Shanghai on August 4 clustering tightly between 34–35 °C, producing the near-even market split. Subtle differences hinge on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification amid persistently high humidity and weak steering flow typical of the East Asian monsoon. Recent days of above-normal heat have primed the surface for strong diurnal warming, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cirrus could cap the peak at 34 °C; clearer skies would favor 35 °C. Updated model cycles and official Shanghai Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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