**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models, point to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds.** This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 13 °C (54 % implied probability), followed by 12 °C and 14 °C. August is climatologically the coolest month in Buenos Aires, with historical average highs around 15–16 °C, but recent days have run 2–4 °C below normal amid a stable high-pressure pattern. Overnight lows near 6–8 °C and modest daytime heating under limited insolation keep the peak temperature tightly constrained. No significant warm advection or frontal passage is indicated in the latest model runs, reducing the chance of a spike above 14 °C or a drop below 11 °C. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow forecast envelope, with very low probabilities assigned to extremes. Updated model guidance and any last-minute observational shifts from the National Meteorological Service will be the key near-term drivers of further adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
8月24日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
13°C 54%
12°C 27%
14°C 19%
15°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
27%
13°C
54%
14°C
19%
15°C
4%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 54%
12°C 27%
14°C 19%
15°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/24
7°C or below
$99 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$245 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$189 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$400 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$489 Vol.
2%
12°C
$1,026 Vol.
27%
13°C
$1,203 Vol.
54%
14°C
$1,497 Vol.
19%
15°C
$1,252 Vol.
4%
16°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models, point to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds.** This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 13 °C (54 % implied probability), followed by 12 °C and 14 °C.
August is climatologically the coolest month in Buenos Aires, with historical average highs around 15–16 °C, but recent days have run 2–4 °C below normal amid a stable high-pressure pattern. Overnight lows near 6–8 °C and modest daytime heating under limited insolation keep the peak temperature tightly constrained. No significant warm advection or frontal passage is indicated in the latest model runs, reducing the chance of a spike above 14 °C or a drop below 11 °C.
Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow forecast envelope, with very low probabilities assigned to extremes. Updated model guidance and any last-minute observational shifts from the National Meteorological Service will be the key near-term drivers of further adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
音量
$6,863終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models, point to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds.** This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 13 °C (54 % implied probability), followed by 12 °C and 14 °C.
August is climatologically the coolest month in Buenos Aires, with historical average highs around 15–16 °C, but recent days have run 2–4 °C below normal amid a stable high-pressure pattern. Overnight lows near 6–8 °C and modest daytime heating under limited insolation keep the peak temperature tightly constrained. No significant warm advection or frontal passage is indicated in the latest model runs, reducing the chance of a spike above 14 °C or a drop below 11 °C.
Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow forecast envelope, with very low probabilities assigned to extremes. Updated model guidance and any last-minute observational shifts from the National Meteorological Service will be the key near-term drivers of further adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,863終了日
2026/08/24マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET**Current forecasts from multiple sources, including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models, point to a daytime maximum near 12–13 °C on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds.** This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 13 °C (54 % implied probability), followed by 12 °C and 14 °C. August is climatologically the coolest month in Buenos Aires, with historical average highs around 15–16 °C, but recent days have run 2–4 °C below normal amid a stable high-pressure pattern. Overnight lows near 6–8 °C and modest daytime heating under limited insolation keep the peak temperature tightly constrained. No significant warm advection or frontal passage is indicated in the latest model runs, reducing the chance of a spike above 14 °C or a drop below 11 °C. Traders appear to be pricing in this narrow forecast envelope, with very low probabilities assigned to extremes. Updated model guidance and any last-minute observational shifts from the National Meteorological Service will be the key near-term drivers of further adjustments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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