Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and supporting global models show a daily maximum near 12°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow, high pressure, and limited cloud cover that caps afternoon warming during peak winter. Current observations and short-range guidance indicate temperatures rising from overnight lows near 4–6°C to afternoon peaks of 11–13°C, aligning closely with climatological norms for late August. Trader consensus at 97% on 12°C reflects this strong model agreement and real-time station data, though minor shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer mixing could allow a 13°C or 11°C outcome before official readings finalize.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
12°C 98%
13°C 3%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$16,235 Vol.
$16,235 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
98%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 98%
13°C 3%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$16,235 Vol.
$16,235 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
98%
13°C
3%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and supporting global models show a daily maximum near 12°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow, high pressure, and limited cloud cover that caps afternoon warming during peak winter. Current observations and short-range guidance indicate temperatures rising from overnight lows near 4–6°C to afternoon peaks of 11–13°C, aligning closely with climatological norms for late August. Trader consensus at 97% on 12°C reflects this strong model agreement and real-time station data, though minor shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer mixing could allow a 13°C or 11°C outcome before official readings finalize.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問