Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate points to a Beijing high near 31–34°C on August 4, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity moderating peak readings amid typical East Asian summer monsoon influences. Forecasters note variable steering patterns and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while overnight lows near 24°C and possible cloud cover limit radiative heating. Historical August averages hover around 30–32°C, but short-range ensemble spreads—particularly on convective timing—create the tight 32–34°C clustering visible in trader pricing. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine whether instability suppresses the maximum or allows brief clearing to push toward 34°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日の北京の最高気温は？
8月4日の北京の最高気温は？
33℃ 35%
34℃ 25%
32°C 20%
31℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
28℃以下
<1%
29℃
1%
30°C
5%
31℃
10%
32°C
20%
33℃
35%
34℃
25%
35°C
9%
36℃
5%
37°C
2%
38℃以上
1%
33℃ 35%
34℃ 25%
32°C 20%
31℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
28℃以下
$54 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$60 Vol.
1%
30°C
$31 Vol.
5%
31℃
$78 Vol.
10%
32°C
$16 Vol.
20%
33℃
$119 Vol.
35%
34℃
$33 Vol.
25%
35°C
$351 Vol.
9%
36℃
$85 Vol.
5%
37°C
$154 Vol.
2%
38℃以上
$30 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate points to a Beijing high near 31–34°C on August 4, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity moderating peak readings amid typical East Asian summer monsoon influences. Forecasters note variable steering patterns and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while overnight lows near 24°C and possible cloud cover limit radiative heating. Historical August averages hover around 30–32°C, but short-range ensemble spreads—particularly on convective timing—create the tight 32–34°C clustering visible in trader pricing. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine whether instability suppresses the maximum or allows brief clearing to push toward 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$1,011終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate points to a Beijing high near 31–34°C on August 4, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity moderating peak readings amid typical East Asian summer monsoon influences. Forecasters note variable steering patterns and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while overnight lows near 24°C and possible cloud cover limit radiative heating. Historical August averages hover around 30–32°C, but short-range ensemble spreads—particularly on convective timing—create the tight 32–34°C clustering visible in trader pricing. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine whether instability suppresses the maximum or allows brief clearing to push toward 34°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,011終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate points to a Beijing high near 31–34°C on August 4, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity moderating peak readings amid typical East Asian summer monsoon influences. Forecasters note variable steering patterns and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally, while overnight lows near 24°C and possible cloud cover limit radiative heating. Historical August averages hover around 30–32°C, but short-range ensemble spreads—particularly on convective timing—create the tight 32–34°C clustering visible in trader pricing. Updated NMC and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine whether instability suppresses the maximum or allows brief clearing to push toward 34°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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