**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum of 58-59°F for Seattle on August 22, 2026, reflecting official observations from primary reporting stations such as Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.** This outcome aligns with National Weather Service summaries and nearby station data showing overnight lows in the upper 50s amid mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions that limited radiational cooling. Marine air influence and light winds typical of late summer in the Puget Sound region prevented temperatures from dropping toward the long-term average low of ~56°F. With the event concluded and data available, market-implied odds near 99% indicate high confidence in the recorded minimum, consistent with verified readings rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges to this positioning remain limited but include potential late revisions to preliminary climate reports or resolution criteria specifying a non-standard station. No major model discrepancies or extreme events occurred to shift the observed value outside this narrow band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seattle on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 22?
58-59°F 100.0%
56-57°F 1.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,292 Vol.
$2,292 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
51°F or below
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Yes
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70°F or higher
No
58-59°F 100.0%
56-57°F 1.0%
51°F or below <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,292 Vol.
$2,292 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
51°F or below
$163 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$267 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$126 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$32 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$558 Vol.
Yes
60-61°F
$245 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$292 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$154 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$152 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$152 Vol.
No
70°F or higher
$152 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum of 58-59°F for Seattle on August 22, 2026, reflecting official observations from primary reporting stations such as Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.**
This outcome aligns with National Weather Service summaries and nearby station data showing overnight lows in the upper 50s amid mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions that limited radiational cooling. Marine air influence and light winds typical of late summer in the Puget Sound region prevented temperatures from dropping toward the long-term average low of ~56°F. With the event concluded and data available, market-implied odds near 99% indicate high confidence in the recorded minimum, consistent with verified readings rather than forecasts.
Realistic challenges to this positioning remain limited but include potential late revisions to preliminary climate reports or resolution criteria specifying a non-standard station. No major model discrepancies or extreme events occurred to shift the observed value outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Volume
$2,292End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum of 58-59°F for Seattle on August 22, 2026, reflecting official observations from primary reporting stations such as Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.**
This outcome aligns with National Weather Service summaries and nearby station data showing overnight lows in the upper 50s amid mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions that limited radiational cooling. Marine air influence and light winds typical of late summer in the Puget Sound region prevented temperatures from dropping toward the long-term average low of ~56°F. With the event concluded and data available, market-implied odds near 99% indicate high confidence in the recorded minimum, consistent with verified readings rather than forecasts.
Realistic challenges to this positioning remain limited but include potential late revisions to preliminary climate reports or resolution criteria specifying a non-standard station. No major model discrepancies or extreme events occurred to shift the observed value outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,292End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum of 58-59°F for Seattle on August 22, 2026, reflecting official observations from primary reporting stations such as Seattle-Tacoma International Airport.** This outcome aligns with National Weather Service summaries and nearby station data showing overnight lows in the upper 50s amid mostly cloudy to partly cloudy conditions that limited radiational cooling. Marine air influence and light winds typical of late summer in the Puget Sound region prevented temperatures from dropping toward the long-term average low of ~56°F. With the event concluded and data available, market-implied odds near 99% indicate high confidence in the recorded minimum, consistent with verified readings rather than forecasts. Realistic challenges to this positioning remain limited but include potential late revisions to preliminary climate reports or resolution criteria specifying a non-standard station. No major model discrepancies or extreme events occurred to shift the observed value outside this narrow band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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