**Official observations from LaGuardia Airport recorded a minimum of 70°F on August 22, 2026, anchoring the strong 93% market consensus on the 70-71°F bin.** Mostly cloudy skies overnight limited radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and light northeast winds kept temperatures from falling further below seasonal norms near 68°F. NWS and model data showed limited overnight cooling potential under this stable air mass, with ensemble runs converging on lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. This aligns with the market-implied odds reflecting real-capital trader assessment of verified station data. A late revision in final NWS verification or a shift to a different official reporting station could theoretically alter the outcome, though current reports make such scenarios highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 22?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 22?
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$11,647 Vol.
$11,647 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$11,647 Vol.
$11,647 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
59°F or below
$214 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$539 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$562 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$1,225 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$1,085 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$2,372 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$3,845 Vol.
Yes
72-73°F
$1,001 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$446 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$184 Vol.
No
78°F or higher
$174 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from LaGuardia Airport recorded a minimum of 70°F on August 22, 2026, anchoring the strong 93% market consensus on the 70-71°F bin.** Mostly cloudy skies overnight limited radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and light northeast winds kept temperatures from falling further below seasonal norms near 68°F. NWS and model data showed limited overnight cooling potential under this stable air mass, with ensemble runs converging on lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. This aligns with the market-implied odds reflecting real-capital trader assessment of verified station data.
A late revision in final NWS verification or a shift to a different official reporting station could theoretically alter the outcome, though current reports make such scenarios highly improbable.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Volume
$11,647End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from LaGuardia Airport recorded a minimum of 70°F on August 22, 2026, anchoring the strong 93% market consensus on the 70-71°F bin.** Mostly cloudy skies overnight limited radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and light northeast winds kept temperatures from falling further below seasonal norms near 68°F. NWS and model data showed limited overnight cooling potential under this stable air mass, with ensemble runs converging on lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. This aligns with the market-implied odds reflecting real-capital trader assessment of verified station data.
A late revision in final NWS verification or a shift to a different official reporting station could theoretically alter the outcome, though current reports make such scenarios highly improbable.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,647End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Official observations from LaGuardia Airport recorded a minimum of 70°F on August 22, 2026, anchoring the strong 93% market consensus on the 70-71°F bin.** Mostly cloudy skies overnight limited radiative cooling, while moderate humidity and light northeast winds kept temperatures from falling further below seasonal norms near 68°F. NWS and model data showed limited overnight cooling potential under this stable air mass, with ensemble runs converging on lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. This aligns with the market-implied odds reflecting real-capital trader assessment of verified station data. A late revision in final NWS verification or a shift to a different official reporting station could theoretically alter the outcome, though current reports make such scenarios highly improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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