Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Moscow's August 23 overnight low near 16°C under broken cloud cover, though ensemble variability and late-summer radiative cooling allow for dips into the 13–15°C range if skies clear overnight. Moscow’s continental climate features rapidly declining August minima, averaging 11–14°C by month’s end, driven by shorter daylight and weakening solar insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the 13–15°C probabilities aligns with these trends and recent model consensus, while sub-12°C outcomes remain unlikely absent an atypical cold-air advection event. Updated regional observations and next model runs will refine the exact minimum before daily close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
13°C 19%
12°C 14%
11°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$2,881 Vol.
$2,881 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
14%
13°C
19%
14°C
34%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
13°C 19%
12°C 14%
11°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$2,881 Vol.
$2,881 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
$210 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$787 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$79 Vol.
14%
13°C
$10 Vol.
19%
14°C
$22 Vol.
34%
15°C
$506 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$479 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Moscow's August 23 overnight low near 16°C under broken cloud cover, though ensemble variability and late-summer radiative cooling allow for dips into the 13–15°C range if skies clear overnight. Moscow’s continental climate features rapidly declining August minima, averaging 11–14°C by month’s end, driven by shorter daylight and weakening solar insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the 13–15°C probabilities aligns with these trends and recent model consensus, while sub-12°C outcomes remain unlikely absent an atypical cold-air advection event. Updated regional observations and next model runs will refine the exact minimum before daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,881End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Moscow's August 23 overnight low near 16°C under broken cloud cover, though ensemble variability and late-summer radiative cooling allow for dips into the 13–15°C range if skies clear overnight. Moscow’s continental climate features rapidly declining August minima, averaging 11–14°C by month’s end, driven by shorter daylight and weakening solar insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the 13–15°C probabilities aligns with these trends and recent model consensus, while sub-12°C outcomes remain unlikely absent an atypical cold-air advection event. Updated regional observations and next model runs will refine the exact minimum before daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,881End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Moscow's August 23 overnight low near 16°C under broken cloud cover, though ensemble variability and late-summer radiative cooling allow for dips into the 13–15°C range if skies clear overnight. Moscow’s continental climate features rapidly declining August minima, averaging 11–14°C by month’s end, driven by shorter daylight and weakening solar insolation. Trader consensus reflected in the 13–15°C probabilities aligns with these trends and recent model consensus, while sub-12°C outcomes remain unlikely absent an atypical cold-air advection event. Updated regional observations and next model runs will refine the exact minimum before daily close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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