Recent official IMD forecasts and model consensus for Lucknow point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C on August 26, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and spells of rain or thundershowers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions follow several days of above-normal night temperatures and monsoon activity that have kept lows clustered around 26–28°C rather than allowing clearer skies or drier air to produce sharper drops. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly on 26°C and 27°C because small differences in overnight cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or wind speed can shift the exact low by 1°C, while historical August norms and current ensemble guidance show little support for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs expected in the next 12–24 hours remain the key data points that could refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
27°C 35%
26°C 33%
28°C 27%
25°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
21%
25°C
26%
26°C
33%
27°C
35%
28°C
27%
29°C
24%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 35%
26°C 33%
28°C 27%
25°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$145 Vol.
2%
23°C
$58 Vol.
8%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
33%
27°C
$0 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
24%
30°C
$20 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$145 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official IMD forecasts and model consensus for Lucknow point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C on August 26, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and spells of rain or thundershowers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions follow several days of above-normal night temperatures and monsoon activity that have kept lows clustered around 26–28°C rather than allowing clearer skies or drier air to produce sharper drops. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly on 26°C and 27°C because small differences in overnight cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or wind speed can shift the exact low by 1°C, while historical August norms and current ensemble guidance show little support for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs expected in the next 12–24 hours remain the key data points that could refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$368End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official IMD forecasts and model consensus for Lucknow point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C on August 26, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and spells of rain or thundershowers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions follow several days of above-normal night temperatures and monsoon activity that have kept lows clustered around 26–28°C rather than allowing clearer skies or drier air to produce sharper drops. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly on 26°C and 27°C because small differences in overnight cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or wind speed can shift the exact low by 1°C, while historical August norms and current ensemble guidance show little support for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs expected in the next 12–24 hours remain the key data points that could refine these probabilities before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$368End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official IMD forecasts and model consensus for Lucknow point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C on August 26, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and spells of rain or thundershowers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions follow several days of above-normal night temperatures and monsoon activity that have kept lows clustered around 26–28°C rather than allowing clearer skies or drier air to produce sharper drops. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly on 26°C and 27°C because small differences in overnight cloud thickness, rainfall timing, or wind speed can shift the exact low by 1°C, while historical August norms and current ensemble guidance show little support for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C. Updated IMD briefings and short-range model runs expected in the next 12–24 hours remain the key data points that could refine these probabilities before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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