Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms will likely cap Lucknow's maximum temperature on August 26 near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 38.5% and 18.5% implied probability. High humidity and frequent rain suppress daytime heating compared to drier pre-monsoon conditions, while steering patterns and localized convection determine exact peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with current ensemble guidance showing low risk of exceeding 34°C amid active monsoon conditions. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited upside from any brief clear spells before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
33°C 19%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
29%
32°C
36%
33°C
19%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
33°C 19%
30°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$13 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$48 Vol.
1%
29°C
$80 Vol.
2%
30°C
$173 Vol.
11%
31°C
$185 Vol.
29%
32°C
$405 Vol.
36%
33°C
$105 Vol.
19%
34°C
$115 Vol.
7%
35°C
$199 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$185 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms will likely cap Lucknow's maximum temperature on August 26 near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 38.5% and 18.5% implied probability. High humidity and frequent rain suppress daytime heating compared to drier pre-monsoon conditions, while steering patterns and localized convection determine exact peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with current ensemble guidance showing low risk of exceeding 34°C amid active monsoon conditions. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited upside from any brief clear spells before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,510End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms will likely cap Lucknow's maximum temperature on August 26 near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 38.5% and 18.5% implied probability. High humidity and frequent rain suppress daytime heating compared to drier pre-monsoon conditions, while steering patterns and localized convection determine exact peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with current ensemble guidance showing low risk of exceeding 34°C amid active monsoon conditions. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited upside from any brief clear spells before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,510End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms will likely cap Lucknow's maximum temperature on August 26 near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 38.5% and 18.5% implied probability. High humidity and frequent rain suppress daytime heating compared to drier pre-monsoon conditions, while steering patterns and localized convection determine exact peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with current ensemble guidance showing low risk of exceeding 34°C amid active monsoon conditions. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited upside from any brief clear spells before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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