**Trader consensus heavily favors a minimum temperature of 74–75°F in Atlanta on August 23, 2026, at an 84% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service point forecasts and model guidance calling for overnight lows near 69–72°F under mostly clear skies.** Seasonal August norms place the daily minimum around 71°F at KATL, with recent observations showing minima of 73°F on August 22 amid above-average warmth and high dew points that limit radiative cooling. Light winds, high humidity, and the absence of a significant frontal passage keep the boundary layer warmer than typical late-summer nights, reducing the chance of deeper drops into the low 60s. Updated short-range guidance from NOAA/NWS emphasizes minimal overnight cooling, supporting the 74–75°F bracket over cooler or significantly warmer alternatives. Upcoming evening observations and any late-model runs will determine whether the low settles at the upper or lower end of the favored range before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Atlanta on August 23?
74-75°F 95%
72-73°F 5%
70-71°F <1%
63°F or below <1%
$2,537 Vol.
$2,537 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
95%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 95%
72-73°F 5%
70-71°F <1%
63°F or below <1%
$2,537 Vol.
$2,537 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
95%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a minimum temperature of 74–75°F in Atlanta on August 23, 2026, at an 84% implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service point forecasts and model guidance calling for overnight lows near 69–72°F under mostly clear skies.** Seasonal August norms place the daily minimum around 71°F at KATL, with recent observations showing minima of 73°F on August 22 amid above-average warmth and high dew points that limit radiative cooling. Light winds, high humidity, and the absence of a significant frontal passage keep the boundary layer warmer than typical late-summer nights, reducing the chance of deeper drops into the low 60s. Updated short-range guidance from NOAA/NWS emphasizes minimal overnight cooling, supporting the 74–75°F bracket over cooler or significantly warmer alternatives. Upcoming evening observations and any late-model runs will determine whether the low settles at the upper or lower end of the favored range before midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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