Singapore's equatorial climate produces consistently warm conditions, with typical August daily highs averaging 30–31°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Current trader consensus favoring 32°C or 33°C aligns with the ongoing El Niño event, which is projected to deliver warmer-than-average temperatures and reduced rainfall through October 2026, per Meteorological Service Singapore guidance. This pattern can elevate peak readings by 1–2°C on clearer days while limiting extreme outliers above 34°C. Short-range model guidance for mid-August continues to show modest variability around these thresholds, with resolution hinging on exact maximum observations from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 15?
32°C 55%
33°C 36%
31°C 7%
34°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
55%
33°C
36%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
33°C 36%
31°C 7%
34°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
55%
33°C
36%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's equatorial climate produces consistently warm conditions, with typical August daily highs averaging 30–31°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Current trader consensus favoring 32°C or 33°C aligns with the ongoing El Niño event, which is projected to deliver warmer-than-average temperatures and reduced rainfall through October 2026, per Meteorological Service Singapore guidance. This pattern can elevate peak readings by 1–2°C on clearer days while limiting extreme outliers above 34°C. Short-range model guidance for mid-August continues to show modest variability around these thresholds, with resolution hinging on exact maximum observations from official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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