Karachi's typical August climatology, featuring monsoon-influenced humidity and average daily highs near 32°C per long-term Pakistan Meteorological Department records, anchors the market's 100% consensus on that exact high. Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office align closely with this baseline, projecting partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and temperatures of 31–34°C without signals of intensification. This scientific consistency—rooted in verified observational data and ensemble agreement—explains the overwhelming trader positioning. An unexpected shift toward clearer skies, reduced moisture, or localized heat advection could push readings higher, though such deviations appear unlikely given the stable steering patterns and short remaining observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 16?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 16?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$44,007 Vol.
$44,007 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$44,007 Vol.
$44,007 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$232 Vol.
No
28°C
$382 Vol.
No
29°C
$15,571 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,739 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,270 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,096 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$6,109 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,517 Vol.
No
35°C
$285 Vol.
No
36°C
$577 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$229 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Karachi's typical August climatology, featuring monsoon-influenced humidity and average daily highs near 32°C per long-term Pakistan Meteorological Department records, anchors the market's 100% consensus on that exact high. Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office align closely with this baseline, projecting partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and temperatures of 31–34°C without signals of intensification. This scientific consistency—rooted in verified observational data and ensemble agreement—explains the overwhelming trader positioning. An unexpected shift toward clearer skies, reduced moisture, or localized heat advection could push readings higher, though such deviations appear unlikely given the stable steering patterns and short remaining observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$44,007End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Karachi's typical August climatology, featuring monsoon-influenced humidity and average daily highs near 32°C per long-term Pakistan Meteorological Department records, anchors the market's 100% consensus on that exact high. Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office align closely with this baseline, projecting partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and temperatures of 31–34°C without signals of intensification. This scientific consistency—rooted in verified observational data and ensemble agreement—explains the overwhelming trader positioning. An unexpected shift toward clearer skies, reduced moisture, or localized heat advection could push readings higher, though such deviations appear unlikely given the stable steering patterns and short remaining observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,007End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Karachi's typical August climatology, featuring monsoon-influenced humidity and average daily highs near 32°C per long-term Pakistan Meteorological Department records, anchors the market's 100% consensus on that exact high. Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office align closely with this baseline, projecting partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and temperatures of 31–34°C without signals of intensification. This scientific consistency—rooted in verified observational data and ensemble agreement—explains the overwhelming trader positioning. An unexpected shift toward clearer skies, reduced moisture, or localized heat advection could push readings higher, though such deviations appear unlikely given the stable steering patterns and short remaining observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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