Trader consensus implies a Tokyo minimum temperature of 25°C or 26°C on August 2, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts showing persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow. These conditions favor partly cloudy skies overnight with limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island and high humidity moderate temperature drops. Recent model runs align closely with historical early-August climatology for central Tokyo, where nocturnal lows typically range 24–27°C under similar synoptic patterns. Uncertainty remains around exact cloud cover and wind shifts, with final observations expected to resolve the market by morning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日东京最低气温？
8月2日东京最低气温？
25°C 47%
26℃ 35%
24°C 20%
27°C 2.1%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
20%
25°C
47%
26℃
35%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
25°C 47%
26℃ 35%
24°C 20%
27°C 2.1%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
20°C或以下
$92 交易量
<1%
21°C
$182 交易量
1%
22°C
$97 交易量
1%
23°C
$154 交易量
<1%
24°C
$238 交易量
20%
25°C
$549 交易量
47%
26℃
$579 交易量
35%
27°C
$187 交易量
2%
28°C
$143 交易量
2%
29°C
$177 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$142 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus implies a Tokyo minimum temperature of 25°C or 26°C on August 2, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts showing persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow. These conditions favor partly cloudy skies overnight with limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island and high humidity moderate temperature drops. Recent model runs align closely with historical early-August climatology for central Tokyo, where nocturnal lows typically range 24–27°C under similar synoptic patterns. Uncertainty remains around exact cloud cover and wind shifts, with final observations expected to resolve the market by morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,538结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus implies a Tokyo minimum temperature of 25°C or 26°C on August 2, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts showing persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow. These conditions favor partly cloudy skies overnight with limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island and high humidity moderate temperature drops. Recent model runs align closely with historical early-August climatology for central Tokyo, where nocturnal lows typically range 24–27°C under similar synoptic patterns. Uncertainty remains around exact cloud cover and wind shifts, with final observations expected to resolve the market by morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,538结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus implies a Tokyo minimum temperature of 25°C or 26°C on August 2, driven by the latest Japan Meteorological Agency ensemble forecasts showing persistent subtropical high pressure and light southerly flow. These conditions favor partly cloudy skies overnight with limited radiative cooling, while the urban heat island and high humidity moderate temperature drops. Recent model runs align closely with historical early-August climatology for central Tokyo, where nocturnal lows typically range 24–27°C under similar synoptic patterns. Uncertainty remains around exact cloud cover and wind shifts, with final observations expected to resolve the market by morning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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