Current forecasts for Manila on September 6 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C amid ongoing Southwest Monsoon activity, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with September climatology, where average lows hover around 25–26°C, though monsoon-enhanced rainfall can occasionally suppress minima by a degree or two through increased cloudiness and moisture. The tightly clustered market-implied odds near 24–26°C and the 33% chance for 21°C or below reflect genuine uncertainty in precise overnight cooling rates, model spread on shower timing, and potential for localized variations in wind and precipitation. Official PAGASA or airport observations will resolve the market based on the recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日马尼拉的最低温度?
31°C或更高 57%
21°C或以下 56%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
21°C或以下
56%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
32%
25°C
32%
26°C
33%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
10%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
57%
31°C或更高 57%
21°C或以下 56%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
21°C或以下
56%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
32%
25°C
32%
26°C
33%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
10%
30°C
2%
31°C或更高
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Manila on September 6 point to overnight lows near 25–26°C amid ongoing Southwest Monsoon activity, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with September climatology, where average lows hover around 25–26°C, though monsoon-enhanced rainfall can occasionally suppress minima by a degree or two through increased cloudiness and moisture. The tightly clustered market-implied odds near 24–26°C and the 33% chance for 21°C or below reflect genuine uncertainty in precise overnight cooling rates, model spread on shower timing, and potential for localized variations in wind and precipitation. Official PAGASA or airport observations will resolve the market based on the recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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