Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Lucknow on September 5 due to consistent official guidance from the India Meteorological Department and aligned numerical weather models showing generally cloudy conditions with scattered rain or thundershowers. Recent observations, including a prior-day maximum of 32.3°C, and current readings near 31°C under humid monsoon flow support this outcome, with atmospheric moisture and southeast winds limiting daytime heating to typical early-September values. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term forecasts. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or delayed precipitation could push readings to 33°C, while heavier localized downpours might cap the peak below 32°C, though both remain low-probability shifts based on available data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日勒克瑙的最高温度？
9月5日勒克瑙的最高温度？
32°C 95%
33°C 5%
34°C或更高 <1%
24°C或以下 <1%
$50,044 交易量
$50,044 交易量
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
95%
33°C
5%
34°C或更高
1%
32°C 95%
33°C 5%
34°C或更高 <1%
24°C或以下 <1%
$50,044 交易量
$50,044 交易量
2026-09-05
24°C或以下
$434 交易量
<1%
25°C
$171 交易量
<1%
26°C
$411 交易量
<1%
27°C
$391 交易量
<1%
28°C
$307 交易量
<1%
29°C
$372 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,850 交易量
<1%
31°C
$41,120 交易量
<1%
32°C
$3,169 交易量
95%
33°C
$1,445 交易量
5%
34°C或更高
$373 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Lucknow on September 5 due to consistent official guidance from the India Meteorological Department and aligned numerical weather models showing generally cloudy conditions with scattered rain or thundershowers. Recent observations, including a prior-day maximum of 32.3°C, and current readings near 31°C under humid monsoon flow support this outcome, with atmospheric moisture and southeast winds limiting daytime heating to typical early-September values. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term forecasts. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or delayed precipitation could push readings to 33°C, while heavier localized downpours might cap the peak below 32°C, though both remain low-probability shifts based on available data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$50,044结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Lucknow on September 5 due to consistent official guidance from the India Meteorological Department and aligned numerical weather models showing generally cloudy conditions with scattered rain or thundershowers. Recent observations, including a prior-day maximum of 32.3°C, and current readings near 31°C under humid monsoon flow support this outcome, with atmospheric moisture and southeast winds limiting daytime heating to typical early-September values. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term forecasts. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or delayed precipitation could push readings to 33°C, while heavier localized downpours might cap the peak below 32°C, though both remain low-probability shifts based on available data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50,044结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETMarket-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Lucknow on September 5 due to consistent official guidance from the India Meteorological Department and aligned numerical weather models showing generally cloudy conditions with scattered rain or thundershowers. Recent observations, including a prior-day maximum of 32.3°C, and current readings near 31°C under humid monsoon flow support this outcome, with atmospheric moisture and southeast winds limiting daytime heating to typical early-September values. Trader consensus reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-term forecasts. A rapid clearing of cloud cover or delayed precipitation could push readings to 33°C, while heavier localized downpours might cap the peak below 32°C, though both remain low-probability shifts based on available data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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