**Forecast models from sources like Météo-France and GFS consensus indicate a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds.** This positions those outcomes as market leaders, as the day follows a warmer September 4 (high near 29°C) and aligns with climatological norms around the 23°C seasonal average high. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 15–18°C toward afternoon peaks, with low precipitation risk and stable high pressure supporting limited warming. Trader sentiment, reflected in the combined ~89% probability for 24–25°C, captures this narrow range amid typical model agreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日巴黎气温最高?
24°C 53%
25°C 37%
23°C 6%
26°C 6%
$38,852 交易量
$38,852 交易量
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
53%
25°C
37%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
24°C 53%
25°C 37%
23°C 6%
26°C 6%
$38,852 交易量
$38,852 交易量
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
53%
25°C
37%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models from sources like Météo-France and GFS consensus indicate a daily maximum of 24–25°C in Paris on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds.** This positions those outcomes as market leaders, as the day follows a warmer September 4 (high near 29°C) and aligns with climatological norms around the 23°C seasonal average high. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 15–18°C toward afternoon peaks, with low precipitation risk and stable high pressure supporting limited warming. Trader sentiment, reflected in the combined ~89% probability for 24–25°C, captures this narrow range amid typical model agreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the exact maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题