The closely matched odds between 22°C (48%) and 23°C (41%) stem from slight variations across official forecast models for London's peak temperature today. Met Office guidance and multiple ensemble runs indicate a maximum near 22°C under sunny intervals, light westerly winds of 8–14 km/h, and high pressure near 1024 hPa, with some projections allowing a brief afternoon spike to 23°C depending on cloud cover and local urban heat effects. September climatology typically averages 19–20°C, so current clear conditions support the elevated range, though model disagreement on exact timing of any peak creates the tight spread ahead of final station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日伦敦气温最高？
9月5日伦敦气温最高？
22°C 48%
23°C 42%
24°C 9%
21°C 5%
$36,624 交易量
$36,624 交易量
2026-09-05
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
48%
23°C
42%
24°C
9%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
22°C 48%
23°C 42%
24°C 9%
21°C 5%
$36,624 交易量
$36,624 交易量
2026-09-05
18°C或以下
$1,073 交易量
<1%
19°C
$250 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,945 交易量
1%
21°C
$4,602 交易量
5%
22°C
$9,323 交易量
48%
23°C
$7,221 交易量
42%
24°C
$4,631 交易量
9%
25°C
$1,479 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,198 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,491 交易量
<1%
28°C或更高
$3,411 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched odds between 22°C (48%) and 23°C (41%) stem from slight variations across official forecast models for London's peak temperature today. Met Office guidance and multiple ensemble runs indicate a maximum near 22°C under sunny intervals, light westerly winds of 8–14 km/h, and high pressure near 1024 hPa, with some projections allowing a brief afternoon spike to 23°C depending on cloud cover and local urban heat effects. September climatology typically averages 19–20°C, so current clear conditions support the elevated range, though model disagreement on exact timing of any peak creates the tight spread ahead of final station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$36,624结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched odds between 22°C (48%) and 23°C (41%) stem from slight variations across official forecast models for London's peak temperature today. Met Office guidance and multiple ensemble runs indicate a maximum near 22°C under sunny intervals, light westerly winds of 8–14 km/h, and high pressure near 1024 hPa, with some projections allowing a brief afternoon spike to 23°C depending on cloud cover and local urban heat effects. September climatology typically averages 19–20°C, so current clear conditions support the elevated range, though model disagreement on exact timing of any peak creates the tight spread ahead of final station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,624结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThe closely matched odds between 22°C (48%) and 23°C (41%) stem from slight variations across official forecast models for London's peak temperature today. Met Office guidance and multiple ensemble runs indicate a maximum near 22°C under sunny intervals, light westerly winds of 8–14 km/h, and high pressure near 1024 hPa, with some projections allowing a brief afternoon spike to 23°C depending on cloud cover and local urban heat effects. September climatology typically averages 19–20°C, so current clear conditions support the elevated range, though model disagreement on exact timing of any peak creates the tight spread ahead of final station readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题