Latest Met Office guidance points to a 26°C maximum in London on September 6 under southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with hourly peaks near 25°C by mid-afternoon. This aligns with model consensus showing above-average warmth for early September, when the climatological high is 21°C, driven by a temporary ridge favoring warmer advection rather than strong insolation. Other sources range from 24–27°C, reflecting typical short-range forecast spread in temperature and cloud cover. Trader positioning, with 26°C at 41.5% implied probability ahead of 25°C and 27°C, closely tracks this ensemble view, while lower odds on extremes reflect limited potential for rapid intensification or cooling ahead of the next frontal system. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日伦敦气温最高？
9月6日伦敦气温最高？
26°C 42%
27°C 24%
25°C 24%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
24%
26°C
42%
27°C
24%
28°C
10%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
26°C 42%
27°C 24%
25°C 24%
28°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
22°C或以下
$612 交易量
<1%
23°C
$434 交易量
2%
24°C
$972 交易量
4%
25°C
$2,406 交易量
24%
26°C
$1,023 交易量
42%
27°C
$1,495 交易量
24%
28°C
$687 交易量
10%
29°C
$245 交易量
<1%
30°C
$379 交易量
<1%
31°C
$189 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$119 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 26°C maximum in London on September 6 under southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with hourly peaks near 25°C by mid-afternoon. This aligns with model consensus showing above-average warmth for early September, when the climatological high is 21°C, driven by a temporary ridge favoring warmer advection rather than strong insolation. Other sources range from 24–27°C, reflecting typical short-range forecast spread in temperature and cloud cover. Trader positioning, with 26°C at 41.5% implied probability ahead of 25°C and 27°C, closely tracks this ensemble view, while lower odds on extremes reflect limited potential for rapid intensification or cooling ahead of the next frontal system. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$8,560结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance points to a 26°C maximum in London on September 6 under southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with hourly peaks near 25°C by mid-afternoon. This aligns with model consensus showing above-average warmth for early September, when the climatological high is 21°C, driven by a temporary ridge favoring warmer advection rather than strong insolation. Other sources range from 24–27°C, reflecting typical short-range forecast spread in temperature and cloud cover. Trader positioning, with 26°C at 41.5% implied probability ahead of 25°C and 27°C, closely tracks this ensemble view, while lower odds on extremes reflect limited potential for rapid intensification or cooling ahead of the next frontal system. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,560结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETLatest Met Office guidance points to a 26°C maximum in London on September 6 under southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with hourly peaks near 25°C by mid-afternoon. This aligns with model consensus showing above-average warmth for early September, when the climatological high is 21°C, driven by a temporary ridge favoring warmer advection rather than strong insolation. Other sources range from 24–27°C, reflecting typical short-range forecast spread in temperature and cloud cover. Trader positioning, with 26°C at 41.5% implied probability ahead of 25°C and 27°C, closely tracks this ensemble view, while lower odds on extremes reflect limited potential for rapid intensification or cooling ahead of the next frontal system. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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