**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s daily maximum on September 5, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across meteorological models and real-time observations.** Multiple forecasts, including those from Chinese weather services and international providers like Yr, project a high near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds, typical humidity around 70-80%, and only isolated light rain or thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where daytime peaks commonly reach the low 30s°C before the more active rainy season intensifies. Current station readings approaching 31°C during midday further reinforce the market-implied odds near 99.5%. A realistic shift away from 31°C would require either persistent heavy cloud cover or convective rain suppressing the peak below 31°C, or an unexpected late surge pushing the official maximum to 32°C or higher—outcomes that remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and model consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日深圳气温最高？
9月5日深圳气温最高？
31°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
$38,493 交易量
$38,493 交易量
2026-09-05
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
<1%
31°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
$38,493 交易量
$38,493 交易量
2026-09-05
23°C或以下
$541 交易量
<1%
24°C
$305 交易量
<1%
25°C
$382 交易量
<1%
26°C
$401 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,080 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,453 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,483 交易量
<1%
30°C
$9,407 交易量
<1%
31°C
$8,758 交易量
99%
32°C
$6,897 交易量
1%
33°C或以上
$7,786 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s daily maximum on September 5, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across meteorological models and real-time observations.** Multiple forecasts, including those from Chinese weather services and international providers like Yr, project a high near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds, typical humidity around 70-80%, and only isolated light rain or thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where daytime peaks commonly reach the low 30s°C before the more active rainy season intensifies.
Current station readings approaching 31°C during midday further reinforce the market-implied odds near 99.5%. A realistic shift away from 31°C would require either persistent heavy cloud cover or convective rain suppressing the peak below 31°C, or an unexpected late surge pushing the official maximum to 32°C or higher—outcomes that remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$38,493结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s daily maximum on September 5, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across meteorological models and real-time observations.** Multiple forecasts, including those from Chinese weather services and international providers like Yr, project a high near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds, typical humidity around 70-80%, and only isolated light rain or thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where daytime peaks commonly reach the low 30s°C before the more active rainy season intensifies.
Current station readings approaching 31°C during midday further reinforce the market-implied odds near 99.5%. A realistic shift away from 31°C would require either persistent heavy cloud cover or convective rain suppressing the peak below 31°C, or an unexpected late surge pushing the official maximum to 32°C or higher—outcomes that remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,493结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors 31°C as Shenzhen’s daily maximum on September 5, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across meteorological models and real-time observations.** Multiple forecasts, including those from Chinese weather services and international providers like Yr, project a high near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly or variable winds, typical humidity around 70-80%, and only isolated light rain or thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where daytime peaks commonly reach the low 30s°C before the more active rainy season intensifies. Current station readings approaching 31°C during midday further reinforce the market-implied odds near 99.5%. A realistic shift away from 31°C would require either persistent heavy cloud cover or convective rain suppressing the peak below 31°C, or an unexpected late surge pushing the official maximum to 32°C or higher—outcomes that remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern and model consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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