Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a 30–31°C high for Shenzhen on September 6 as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44.5% for 31°C and 22.5% for 30°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for early September feature daytime highs near 31°C, but widespread cloud cover and moderate to heavy rainfall—forecast to reach several millimeters—will limit solar heating and cap peak temperatures. Current observations on September 5 show partly cloudy skies with temperatures already near 30–32°C, while easterly to northeasterly flow supports onshore moisture. Updated numerical guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows minimal spread around this range, with only modest upside risk to 32°C if convection is delayed. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily, as drier or clearer conditions would be required to push readings notably higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日深圳气温最高？
9月6日深圳气温最高？
31°C 45%
30°C 19%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
最新
$10,031 交易量
最新
$10,031 交易量
2026-09-06
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
19%
31°C
45%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C或更高
1%
31°C 45%
30°C 19%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
最新
$10,031 交易量
最新
$10,031 交易量
2026-09-06
24°C或以下
$160 交易量
<1%
25°C
$125 交易量
<1%
26°C
$155 交易量
<1%
27°C
$148 交易量
2%
28°C
$806 交易量
5%
29°C
$2,687 交易量
9%
30°C
$2,755 交易量
19%
31°C
$1,289 交易量
45%
32°C
$567 交易量
19%
33°C
$836 交易量
5%
34°C或更高
$688 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a 30–31°C high for Shenzhen on September 6 as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44.5% for 31°C and 22.5% for 30°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for early September feature daytime highs near 31°C, but widespread cloud cover and moderate to heavy rainfall—forecast to reach several millimeters—will limit solar heating and cap peak temperatures. Current observations on September 5 show partly cloudy skies with temperatures already near 30–32°C, while easterly to northeasterly flow supports onshore moisture. Updated numerical guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows minimal spread around this range, with only modest upside risk to 32°C if convection is delayed. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily, as drier or clearer conditions would be required to push readings notably higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$10,031结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models positions a 30–31°C high for Shenzhen on September 6 as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44.5% for 31°C and 22.5% for 30°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for early September feature daytime highs near 31°C, but widespread cloud cover and moderate to heavy rainfall—forecast to reach several millimeters—will limit solar heating and cap peak temperatures. Current observations on September 5 show partly cloudy skies with temperatures already near 30–32°C, while easterly to northeasterly flow supports onshore moisture. Updated numerical guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows minimal spread around this range, with only modest upside risk to 32°C if convection is delayed. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily, as drier or clearer conditions would be required to push readings notably higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,031结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast consensus from multiple models positions a 30–31°C high for Shenzhen on September 6 as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 44.5% for 31°C and 22.5% for 30°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for early September feature daytime highs near 31°C, but widespread cloud cover and moderate to heavy rainfall—forecast to reach several millimeters—will limit solar heating and cap peak temperatures. Current observations on September 5 show partly cloudy skies with temperatures already near 30–32°C, while easterly to northeasterly flow supports onshore moisture. Updated numerical guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows minimal spread around this range, with only modest upside risk to 32°C if convection is delayed. Traders appear to weigh these factors heavily, as drier or clearer conditions would be required to push readings notably higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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