**Forecast models converge on a daytime maximum of 19–20°C in Amsterdam today under westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate pressure around 1020–1023 hPa.** Hourly guidance from sources such as GFS-based runs and official services shows peaks near 19°C in the afternoon, with limited solar heating from cloud cover and fresh winds (15–25 km/h) preventing stronger warming. This setup aligns with early-September climatology tempered by Atlantic air, keeping readings below recent warmer analogs. Traders assign near-even odds to 19°C versus 20°C because small differences in model timing, exact station measurement, or brief clearing could tip the official high either way, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月5日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
19°C 50%
20°C 42%
18°C 8%
21°C 5%
$47,511 交易量
$47,511 交易量
2026-09-05
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
8%
19°C
50%
20°C
42%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
19°C 50%
20°C 42%
18°C 8%
21°C 5%
$47,511 交易量
$47,511 交易量
2026-09-05
15°C或以下
$381 交易量
<1%
16°C
$491 交易量
<1%
17°C
$16,324 交易量
<1%
18°C
$4,798 交易量
8%
19°C
$8,175 交易量
50%
20°C
$8,984 交易量
42%
21°C
$3,753 交易量
5%
22°C
$2,460 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,608 交易量
<1%
24°C
$316 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$221 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models converge on a daytime maximum of 19–20°C in Amsterdam today under westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate pressure around 1020–1023 hPa.**
Hourly guidance from sources such as GFS-based runs and official services shows peaks near 19°C in the afternoon, with limited solar heating from cloud cover and fresh winds (15–25 km/h) preventing stronger warming. This setup aligns with early-September climatology tempered by Atlantic air, keeping readings below recent warmer analogs. Traders assign near-even odds to 19°C versus 20°C because small differences in model timing, exact station measurement, or brief clearing could tip the official high either way, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$47,511结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models converge on a daytime maximum of 19–20°C in Amsterdam today under westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate pressure around 1020–1023 hPa.**
Hourly guidance from sources such as GFS-based runs and official services shows peaks near 19°C in the afternoon, with limited solar heating from cloud cover and fresh winds (15–25 km/h) preventing stronger warming. This setup aligns with early-September climatology tempered by Atlantic air, keeping readings below recent warmer analogs. Traders assign near-even odds to 19°C versus 20°C because small differences in model timing, exact station measurement, or brief clearing could tip the official high either way, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$47,511结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast models converge on a daytime maximum of 19–20°C in Amsterdam today under westerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate pressure around 1020–1023 hPa.** Hourly guidance from sources such as GFS-based runs and official services shows peaks near 19°C in the afternoon, with limited solar heating from cloud cover and fresh winds (15–25 km/h) preventing stronger warming. This setup aligns with early-September climatology tempered by Atlantic air, keeping readings below recent warmer analogs. Traders assign near-even odds to 19°C versus 20°C because small differences in model timing, exact station measurement, or brief clearing could tip the official high either way, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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